China's Imminent Implosion - Chart(s) of the Day
Chinese debt is becoming more of a story with each passing day.
The one child policy of the Chinese is creating a bigger problem in dealing with the debt. In the last 60 years, the number of Chinese under the age of 24 dropped by more than 100 million.
Every person under 25 is responsible for $100,000 with the debt level as it stands now.
The situation will only get worse in the coming decades. Demographics are working against the situation improving.
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Adding to this problem are some other dangerous short-term factors that are hastening a reckoning:
China has attempted to solve the demographic crisis by changing the 1 Child policy to a 2 child policy, but many couples are shrugging and saying "it's too expensive to have another child." The government has floated the idea of imposing a heavy tax on couples who have not yet "fulfilled their patriotic duty" of having two children. This added burden upon couples who are already stretched thin taking care of eight grandparents (four per person) who are aging in a society not known for the quality or affordability of its healthcare, and where social security does not exist (due to the expectation that the children will always take care of the aged, an expectation dating back to times when a person could expect to have ten to fifteen grandchildren), would result in an already-declining personal asset growth rate probably collapsing altogether.
For decades, the world has been drooling over China's rise while a few bears were saying "hold on a sec," only to be laughed at by the international community. Now, as the PRC enters a death-spiral, people are starting to realize the bears were right.
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In other words, even if China doubles its debt, on a value basis it would still be about equivalent to USD debt held by this 0-24yr group.
This is just the tip of the iceberg, when one realizes that China 'owns' the U.S. If one walks around their home, they will realize that the majority of what they own was "made in China". This has been ongoing for decades.
The current POTUS poking the bear with tariffs is causing a price surge on otherwise inexpensive items. The 'little guy' is the one feeling it at the register.
And now, POTUS is having to weigh whether he wants to look the other way on S-A, to keep them as an ally. Something tells me money will trump alleged rogue encounters.
Long story short, for years China was the model many people deemed the one to emulate. In the U.S. having children are becoming an expense many are finding cheaper to forego in exchange for the perfect puppy or a couple of cats. This will drastically change the demographics of the U.S. population; and, shall be interesting to see how the debts are 'resolved' in a few decades. If history repeats itself, I expect war will continue to be the answer.
Btw, it's rumored that the internet has been sold to China; and, the U.S. owes China a huge debt, so something tells me this is one of those 'conversations' that neither country wants to face with fury. It doesn't make msm; but, military ships are stirring the waters in the China seas. I could discuss Russia's role in the equation; but, let's just say that's another force to not ignore.
Thanks for this post.
Peace.