The Bitcoin Factor in the Coming of An Altseason

in Project HOPE6 years ago

cryptocurrency3423264_1280.jpg

Over a decade since it came into the public domain, Bitcoin has maintained its indisputable place as the king of cryptocurrency. Standing against all odds, Bitcoin remains the single whale dictating the pace of the crypto ocean. It didn't matter whether the market was bull or bear, the Bitcoin factor had always played a major role in determining the prices of other crypto assets.

Following the recent Bitcoin halving event which took place in May 2020, speculations are again springing up within the cryptosphere about when the next altseaon, if any, would come. Candidly, the answer cannot be specifically determined. At best, we can only make intelligent guesses as to the likeliest outcome of the future.

And in making those intelligent guesses, it is important to examine the two major theories explaining the last altseaon, the one seen in the January of 2018. The accompanying paragraphs will now turn attention to those two theories:

The ICOs Theory

The ICOs theory explains that the last altseaon occurred because of the massive Initial Coin Offerings that took place for most part of 2017. The cryptospace witnessed a plethora of fundraising projects that leverage on the Ethereum blockchain.

Through aggressive and ubiquitous ICOs, these projects were able to raise billions of dollars, according to the theory, that insanely created a demand for Ethereum and other altcoins, resulting to a parabolic rise in prices , an event which is now known as the altseaon.

The theory further explains that the altcoin market only experienced a sharp market reversal when the ICO bubble had collapsed.

The Bitcoin Whale Theory

This theory posits that the last altseaon was chiefly fuelled by the profit-taking activities of Bitcoin whales who were cashing out on Bitcoin and buying altcoins with the aim of pumping it to make maximum profit. The theory further argues that there is a correlation between the Bitcoin dominance and the price of altcoins.

According to this theory, a strong correlation exists between Bitcoin dominance and the price of altcoins. A rising Bitcoin dominance, that is Bitcoin's share of the crypto market capitalization, usually results to stagnancy or an outright fall in the price of altcoins.

So When the Next Altseaon?

The latter theory above appears to be more suitable in predicting the next altseaon. So, we can predict that the next altseaon will most likely come when Bitcoin reaches an all-time high and the whales begin to cash out by first pumping the altcoins.

However, a handful green here and there, a flash in the pan if you like, should be expected in the altcoin market before a major, earthquaking altseaon would show up somewhere around 2021 if history repeats itself. Ultimately, only time will tell what the future holds.


Image sourced from Pixabay

Sort:  
 6 years ago (edited)

Dear @gandhibaba

Another interesting choice of topic. Solid read.

Bitcoin factor had always played a major role in determining the prices of other crypto assets.

My impression was always that Bitcoin matters mostly because for many it is being considered a "bridge" between crypto and FIAT. I wonder if BTC will ever lose it's role as a "king of all cryptos".

For a moment I thought that Libra can take up this role. But I'm not sure about it any more.

So When the Next Altseaon?

Since most people seem to believe that once BTC will go to the moon - then alts will follow with some delay - I would expect that it would happen. Kind of as a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Enjoy your weekend,
Yours, Piotr

My impression was always that Bitcoin matters mostly because for many it is being considered a "bridge" between crypto and FIAT. I wonder if BTC will ever lose it's role as a "king of all cryptos".

That's correct. BTC is mainly flourishing because many still see it as the measure of all crypto value. Libra cannot stand because it can't be trusted as much as BTC is.

As for your prophesy I see it being fulfilled somewhere around 2021. We'll see what happens. Cheers!

Starting from the bottom of your post, we are already seeing green altcoins here and there and some of them are even candidates to lead the next altcoin season.

Both theories have a nice thought process, but I don´t think ICO´s where the catalyst of the altcoin season, quite the opposite the enormous amount of ICO´s where the approximation of the bear market. But this is probably me thinking too much like Benjamin Graham.

 6 years ago 

good to see you again being active on Steemit @diogosantos :)

the story will not repeat to my mind, because i think we will see the greatest falling of stock markets in the world history in this year and it will change full cryptonomic pattern of behavior

Bitcoin is a big box of surprises that I prefer not to touch at the moment, haha!

First, Bitcoin was the first coin in the cryptocurrency and cryptographic world so it would hold the title as king of coins. About Altseasons, 3/4 of all altcoins are tied to the Bitcoin and only increases when Bitcoin does the same.

I believe that the next altseason is directly proportional to the price of BTC.

I believe that the next altseason is directly proportional to the price of BTC.

Herein lies the hallmark of the article. Thanks for stopping by.

@gandhibaba first of all very informative article. As per my thinking all the market is associated with each other if btc go up all the alt fall little and then they also rally. Same applies in the fall also.

I do agree with you. Let's hope that soon we see great leaps in the market.

I have noticed this, altseason is always associated to Bitcoin season, when Bitcoin goes up, alts goes up and when Bitcoin goes down, alts go down

I have noticed this, altseason is always associated to Bitcoin season, when Bitcoin goes up, alts goes up and when Bitcoin goes down, alts go down.

I guess you're right. That's mostly the case.