📊 Bitcoin update 28.Mar - Bullish targets, short term
Bitcoin did finish the blue ABC correction as labeled in Bitcoin update 26.Mar, and it is looking very bullish short term. The C wave is now fully populated with a red ABCDE subwave down.
Here is the 30 minute chart for the EW details.
Using fibonacci I have labeled up green target zones for the 1. and 3. wave up, and the green and red Risk/Reward box show a ratio at 2.5 reward, ~8% down and 20% up.
MACD at -35 have turned up, volume is still flat.
The daily chart is still bearish, here shown log scale. The lower support line is shadow ends 9.15 and 6.2.
The Superguppy widening with the traders below investors group. The red sell Swing Arrow Alert 4 days ago may still be valid. TD Sequential at 5 may turn bullish if closing up today.
These are just my thoughts, not a trading advice.
If you have another view on this post your welcome to discuss and post your charts in the comments.
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The apex is getting closer now...according to my own chart thats around 12th April. So hopefully between now and then BTC will breakout and upwards! I'm going to wait and see what happens before entering a new position. Theres been times I've wanted to buy but holding for now.
I don't want to see the apex any more, starting to get tired of the waiting. But you are right, and it takes the time to wait out the weak hands.
Next BTC post I'll focus more on the support and resistance zones, as I see them more and more useful in trading the range.
Even you're getting impatient now lol...I think prices will be a bit volatile as it comes to the apex AND that its Easter holidays...which is quite a coincident...given that when people come back from their holidays thats when apex is about reached. To add to that the UK is also launching a physically settled futures in April (I just wrote something on this if you want to see). I was reading how this is aimed for hedge funds, big institutions etc...as they "weren't" too happy with the cash settled futures. This made me think whether prices are pushed down for these players to get cheap Bitcoins...
I'm off for my break too and plan not to look at prices until at least after Easter, i.e. next week...hopefully things will start to look up by then and its going to be my birthday too so thats my birthday wish in advance lol.
Can't take a break more than intraday haha :) I have been daytrading a little altcoins today, that's my break. Also been working on the @dolphincontest, and just made a 50% partnership with @cryptli on @steemrat bot so got no time for holidays :)
I read your post about the futures, it will be interesting to see how they play out.
I think the CME futures do move btc price, indirectly, and read an article about this just a couple hours ago:
https://medium.com/@super.crypto1/4th-dimension-bitcoin-manipulation-cartel-can-it-be-burnt-no-way-c53de65c166a
That was one long article...I didn't read everything...but just "key points"..its interesting tbh...and I personally like reading on conspiracy theories. I don't deny that there are manipulations in markets...and what hes presented does sound very convincing.
BUT...there are differences between bitcoin futures and other futures...and that is the cash and physical settlements. I don't see him addressing that point and I don't understand the part where the Cartel transitions from BTC market to the futures market in the future. Then another difference is supply...gold and silver has "unlimited" supply..in the sense that theres still a lot of gold to be mined and I haven't heard of it drying up just yet....whereas Bitcoin has limited supply....yes it will take about 150 yrs to get the last BTC...but what I'm trying to say is if HODLers keep holding and miners do the same then "cartels" share of supply will diminish over time.
Also with Cartels...I don't think its as easy to control prices as he makes it...probably the most "famous" cartel is OPEC....and they've not been too great in controlling oil prices...One of the reasons being there are new big players like Canada and Venezeula...its kind of the same thing for BTC....anyone can mine it and trade it. Yes sure if say the Cartel owned 5M BTC...thats about 35% of the market which is huge and big enough to mess around with prices...but how about the other 65% share that consists of HODLers and non-cartel players?...
If this is getting too obvious that the Cartel is controlling things then can't investors just move onto other cryptos?...aren't there some 1,500 of them to play around with? So is the Cartel going to control all 1,500 of them?
Also just to add that BTC and some cryptos can be bought in different currencies right?...and isn't JPY and KRW the biggest for BTC right now?....futures is quoted in USD. So if say the USD BTC value dropped a lot whilst JPY and KRW rose and created a massive price difference then people might start buying in those currencies instead?
I don't know I mean the world is far more globalized now..and I'd say its not as easy to manipulate something than say even 10 years ago.
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