BITCOIN (BTC) is Rising but Altcoins are in RED! Why? I explain in this blog using Phasic and Non-Phasic cycles.

in #bitcoin7 years ago

I've in the past posted about the ""Phasic" and "Non-Phasic" nature of Bitcoin's correlation with the Altcoins. During the recent $3,045 bottom for Bitcoin, it turned up and reversed ahead of the Altcoins which seemed to be "stuck" behind and still printing red. Meanwhile, Bitcoin kept rising and wasn't looking back. Clearly at that time, Bitcoin and Altcoins were Non-Phasic. Then, sure enough, the Altcoins also turned, almost in concert, and rose and started printing green prices.

Currently, Bitcoin is rising and continues its rise from last night. Meanwhile, the Altcoins are all languishing in slight to moderate red price prints. They all seemed to be Phasic last night as the whole cryptosphere jumped. But overnight, the non-phasic cycles kicked in.

An example of the phasic to non-phasic shift is when you see two cars infront both with the left yellow blinkers on. At first, the lights are off sync and blink in syncopation. As time goes by, the rhythm of the blinks get closer and become more syncronized until they overlap to near correlation. Then this correlation begins to separate and the blinks become once again syncopated.

The phase cycles of sentiment are no different. Most often, Bitcoin leads. But I had also shown last week how NEO seemed to have the batton and BTC followed temporarily.

Overall, the Bitcoin cycle is the dominant and as such, it is the moon that moves the tides and all Altcoins swim in the same cryptosphere ocean. I believe the Altcoins should soon become "phasic" with Bitcoin and rise as well.

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steemit - fantastic.gif Work!

I am loving these longer term analysis. I cannot trade hourly (or even daily TBH) so I am finding the longer time horizon great.

That's my method, it's called arbitrage.

So is it a bad idea to trade all cryptos on BTC instead of fiat? or it doesn't matter?

Thanks for your advise.

I trade on USD, but if you prefer BTC, it matters not. However, a /btc chart analysis would be good to do and I"ll try and pair the charts with /btc and /usd....it just doubles the work.

Hello from rainy Connecticut. You’ve probably forgot what you said in the post you were going to do LTC yesterday maybe we can find time to do it soon. 🐈🐾❤️

Thank you for this information.

Appreciate this analysis. Been wondering what is going on as I'm getting hit with the alts. The blinking signal analogy is great!

As Olivia Newton John might say, it's time to "Get Phasical!"

She's 69 years old!!! Amazing how she still looks younger.

hahah, that's great! Let's do it then, ON-J!!!

Hae Jin, yesterday i bought some NEO at ~33.5$, after push to 37 its back at ~33. do you think that NEO is dropping much further or better wait for the next rising?

//by the way i would really like to see some TA for IOTA, if its possible :)

Hey! I'm an amateur, both in crypto and in TA. I don't want to spread FUD, but situation You're writing about and we all observe today makes me wonder.

  • most of the time BTC and alts are more or less in sync
  • most of the time when BTC dips moderately, alts tend to fall harder
  • most of the time when BTC is fighting resistance level for extended period of time, alts tend to "get scared" that it'll drop. It's like You said in one of Your comments, when BTC sneezes, alts instantly get full blown cold
  • now I learned that also when BTC rises significantly, alts can get out of sync and go the other way

In longer term - BTC will start making bullish run because of fork. People will drop alts to get some of BTC gold --> alts drop. It looks like BTCgold run may be the all time high for BTC as Your prognosis say. What comes next, according to Your charts, is an unforgiving correction, maybe even to 2800. Do I imagine alts move the other way when BTC is crushing? Hardly.

No matter how You turn, situation looks bad for alts.

I'm sad.

My phasic/non phasic are all sub daily moves. On a trend move, Bitcoin moves the tides and the Alts flow with it. So, the sub daily to a few day phasics/nonphasic

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