US surpasses record 200K daily cases; virus numbers could be erratic with Covid-19 deaths projected to double soon

More than 205,000 new cases were reported Friday -- which likely consists of both Thursday and Friday reports in some cases, as at least 20 states did not report Covid-19 numbers on Thanksgiving. As of Saturday afternoon, more than 127,000 new cases and 1,039 deaths had been reported, according to Johns Hopkins University.

The US has now reported more than 100,000 infections every day for 26 consecutive days. The daily average in the week to Friday was more than 166,000 -- almost 2.5 times higher than the summer's peak counts in July.
The number of Covid-19 patients in US hospitals is just off record levels: more than 89,800 on Friday, only a few hundred lower than the peak set a day earlier, according to the COVID Tracking Project.

Holiday season starts under pall of more than 100,000 new Covid-19 cases. And 20 states did not report numbers on Thanksgiving Day
Holiday season starts under pall of more than 100,000 new Covid-19 cases. And 20 states did not report numbers on Thanksgiving Day

And daily Covid-19 deaths in the US have been increasing. The daily average across seven days was 1,477 on Friday. But more than 2,100 deaths were reported on each of the two days before Thanksgiving, the first time that level was crossed on consecutive days since late April.

And while there is more good news on the vaccine front, for now Americans need to "hunker down" and prepare for a difficult winter ahead, according to Dr. Leana Wen, an emergency medicine physician and a visiting professor at George Washington University Milken Institute School of Public Health.

"We cannot let our guard down," she told CNN Friday night. "The vaccines will make a big difference in the spring and the summer; they're not going to make a difference right now."
Based on the current Covid-19 numbers in the US, the country is far from rounding the corner, she said.
"If anything, we are rounding the corner into a calamity," Wen said. "We're soon going to exceed well more than 2,000 deaths, maybe 3,000, 4,000 deaths every single day here in the US."

That projection has been echoed by other experts including Dr. Jonathan Reiner, a professor of medicine at George Washington University, who predicted Wednesday the country's daily death toll would likely double in 10 days, and soon see "close to 4,000 deaths a day."
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The US has so far recorded more than 4 million official coronavirus cases in November, representing roughly 30% of the country's pandemic total of 13.2 million official cases, according to Johns Hopkins University data.
Researchers have cautioned that total probably is a vast undercount, partly because of limited test availability, especially early in the pandemic.

A modeling study published this week by CDC researchers suggests only about one in eight coronavirus infections in the United States were recognized and reported through the end of September. That would mean as many as 53 million people in the United States could have been infected from February through September.

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