I think that much of crypto history is so based on scams, manipulation, and ponzi schemes to make paying much attention to it, at this point in time, is largely fruitless. My guess is 9-10K before halving then a truely spectacular dump back to the 4K zone. Then maybe, maybe back to 10K by the years end.

I know this is pretty bearish, but the bears have been way more right then the bulls in the last 6 months and I see no reasons to be very bullish. The LTC halving has been quite the bust, and while BTC is the trend setter not follower, mostly, I think now, in 2020, "halvings" only fire up the true believers and will leave the rest of the world, the potential retail bag holders for a run up, yawning.

I hope I am very wrong.