SHORT BTCUSD bearish trap is forming - short SELL set up

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I see the opportunity to SELL BTCUSD -4.53%
it is forming a bear trap
the best price I'm not sure whether it can raise to that which is 4160-4260$ area is the best range that you can sell
the target price down max is 3470-3500$ according from my analysis
higher % chance to happen is target profit at 3700$ pretty much 95% confidence level
If you like my analysis please help to upvote and follow
Enjoy trading
Thank you