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RE: The psychology of people...
Yes, the odds of bitcoin succeeding long term has gone up tremendously in the last several years which makes people feel more comfortable buying it now compared with then.
Regarding ETH... agreed, and yet its price continues to go higher and higher and higher...
ETH will go higher as long as exchanges use ERC20-based tokens...
I've already seen some exchanges move on to other smart contract platforms, but it takes time until all move... I'm not even confident that all will eventually move as it's extra cost that needs to be compensated somehow.