Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be defined by price.

in #bitcoin7 days ago

PAY ATTENTION

Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be defined by price.

The only thing that matters now:

Time.

Every Bitcoin cycle follows the same structure:

35 bars expansion + 12 bars contraction.

2015–2017: expansion
2018: contraction

2018–2021: expansion
2022: contraction

Now look at where we are.

The expansion phase is complete.

The contraction has just begun.

And this phase always takes time.

Days from cycle top → final low:

2012: ~400 days
2016: ~360 days
2020: ~370 days

We are not there yet.

Based on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is:

July–November 2026.

That matters more than any price level people are watching.

Most traders think like this:

“I’ll buy when it hits X.”

But real bottoms don’t form at obvious levels.

Below $50,000 I’m a buyer. Regardless of when it happens.

July–November 2026 I’m a buyer. Regardless of price.

If one of those conditions is met, I buy.
No hesitation.

Yes, I started accumulating in the $60k range already.

Even though the timing window isn’t here yet.

Back in October, around $120k,

I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k.

People ignored it.

“BTC will never go below $100k again.”

Now we’re here.

And there’s still one signal missing:

NUPL.

Every major bottom:

  • 2018
  • COVID
  • 2022

Formed when NUPL entered the blue zone.

We haven’t seen that yet.

Remember: For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October.

If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too.

Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

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