Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be defined by price.
PAY ATTENTION
Bitcoin’s next cycle bottom won’t be defined by price.
The only thing that matters now:
Time.
Every Bitcoin cycle follows the same structure:
35 bars expansion + 12 bars contraction.
2015–2017: expansion
2018: contraction
2018–2021: expansion
2022: contraction
Now look at where we are.
The expansion phase is complete.
The contraction has just begun.
And this phase always takes time.
Days from cycle top → final low:
2012: ~400 days
2016: ~360 days
2020: ~370 days
We are not there yet.
Based on historical timing, the highest-probability window for the real bottom is:
July–November 2026.
That matters more than any price level people are watching.
Most traders think like this:
“I’ll buy when it hits X.”
But real bottoms don’t form at obvious levels.
Below $50,000 I’m a buyer. Regardless of when it happens.
July–November 2026 I’m a buyer. Regardless of price.
If one of those conditions is met, I buy.
No hesitation.
Yes, I started accumulating in the $60k range already.
Even though the timing window isn’t here yet.
Back in October, around $120k,
I said I’d be a strong buyer near $60k.
People ignored it.
“BTC will never go below $100k again.”
Now we’re here.
And there’s still one signal missing:
NUPL.
Every major bottom:
- 2018
- COVID
- 2022
Formed when NUPL entered the blue zone.
We haven’t seen that yet.
Remember: For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact bottom at $16,000 three years ago and the top at $126,000 in October.
If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too.
Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.