I agree with you that btc will not even going to peak at $20,000 because we are on wave 3 formation according to elliott wave principle and is usually elongated . this fact is back a by strong bullish candle that form on the previous month.
I have been so vocal about the potential of btc going up more and more . That is the reason why i am not surprise when we hit $20,000.
Now, See my previous post about btc and the update

This is the prove of accuracy to its finest