I Suspect.
Well, let's understand what Iran has done by shooting at everyone around them. Everyone else's intelligence agency, intelligence operatives inside Iran have now been activated to try and take down the regime security forces rather than just listen. And the Gulf Arabs are known for having a lot of discretionary income.
I mean, I wouldn't be surprised if some Artesh commander who's split sides has taken bribes from from several Gulf Arab states and America to do what he wanted. You know, we allegedly saw this in Syria, right? I don't know if it's true, but there was claims that many commanders in Assad's army were convinced to stand down and not oppose Jilani coming through because they got paid off. And I think that's something that can be exploited here in Iran.
Well, this gets to the point of the Iranian mullahs having an out-of-money experience. If they don't have access to foreign exchange because no one is getting oil out of the Persian Gulf right now, especially them, well, they are on a timer, a ticker that they can only, you know, what they have is all they have. They're suffering an end-of-production experience.
This is a World War II concept or end-run production where you only have what you have, you can't get anything else from anywhere else. Well, what that means is, you know, when people's bank accounts run out because, well, either there's been a run on the bank or the bank is closed or the bank has been bombed because it's connected to the Iranian regime, regime security forces got to eat too. Now, I don't doubt the IRGC won't steal from everyone to keep going, but if they try and steal from Artesh, well, things will get interesting, I suspect.
The reality is, who in the Iranian regime right now is legitimate authority, given that they've gone through two supreme leaders in less than a few days, and the Mullahs council that got together, you know, had to suffer bad casualties. The Iranian regime, even in its own terms, is going through people so fast in terms of leadership that no one knows who's a real legitimate leader. And typically when you have that sort of situation, people at the lower levels who had animus or hate going on start taking out, you know, retribution.

Your theory about Artesh commanders potentially being bribed to switch sides raises interesting parallels with the Syrian situation. I'm curious to know if you think this could lead to a more peaceful transition of power in Iran. 💡📚👏