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RE: Is Brexit actually going to happen?
Hello dear friend @spectrumecons.
You have brought us a very complete analysis of the situation the United Kingdom is facing with its possible exit from the European Union.
Your personal opinions are very valid and seeing your previous publications about this issue, it is easy to deduce that you have analyzed all aspects.
My big question in this regard is: with the implementation of new extensions, would not be violating the will of the voters who paid in the 2016 referendum? That is, there was a majority, the route set for March 29, 2019.
Therefore your question should not be:
Is Brexit actually going to happen?
but: "When will Brexit actually happen?"
All best, Piotr.
I think at the time of the referendum a date was not yet decided. It wasn't until Article 50 was passed a date was announced. At the 2017 election, parties pledged to get the UK out of the EU. It still hasn't happened. When and if still depends on a number of factors. The biggest factor, at the moment, is the upcoming General Election. If Conservatives win a majority, the withdrawal agreement should be completed but the Brexit process still continues in regards to trade deals and a few other things. If Conservatives do not win a majority then Brexit could be delayed much longer or not even happen.