来聊聊美国中期选举
11月6号的中期选举,马上就要到了。美国中期选举之重要,不容小视。因为要参议院100个席位中35个席位的角逐,还有众议院全部435个席位的选举。
这届中期选举参议院的主要战场也就是10个州。这届的民主党的策略主要是推女性,来以亲民的姿态赢选票。下图是分析,棕色的5个州 民主党和共和党的民调持平,粉色是偏共和,浅蓝是偏民主。不过川普也算是提前布局了一下,去了摇摆的州一如既往的拉票 佛罗里达,田纳西,印第安纳,密苏里,还有北达。参议院的归属应该是republic的,51-54这个区间,大多数媒体也都是预测在这个区间内。
至于众议院很有可能从现在的共和党,民主党,235:193,变成民主党勉强占多数。所以大多数谷歌上的预测,民主党控制众议院,共和党坐拥参议院。
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