I don't really know the basics of the IHME model really, but my question remains; is it actually trying to undermine the effect of social distancing or is it trying to say that irrespective of social distancing people might still die in a lot of numbers? I wanted to ask more questions but at the end you said these datas are to spur politicians into actions.
However I still don't know how the model comes about this predictions, yet I feel it's an information that might even further put the populace into some sort of FUD, I'm not certain, it's just my views