Where is global economic policy heading?
Assalamu Alaikum
How are you? By Allah's grace, I'm doing very well. You all know that the world economy is in a very bad state, the steps that Donald Trump is taking to strengthen his country can actually bring about a recession because the counter-tariffs have not yet started. As a result, the stock market and crypto market are in such a bad state. Think about it for a moment, if all countries start a tariff war with America like China, what kind of situation can we find ourselves in? It can be said that then we will face a history. I do not want to cover these news because they are in the past and even if you know them, your portfolio will recover.
Now there is a high probability of recession, in fact, we will not know about it, no one can ever say when and how recession will come, maybe we are currently in recession or after the recession ends, we will understand that recession has happened. For those of you who do not know about recession, let me explain it briefly. Recession is when 2 to 3 quarters of a country's gross domestic product go into a bad state, then it is called recession. And Quarter means that every three months is called a Quarter, such as January, February, March is the first Quarter. Now if we think a little logically, then it is understood that Donald Trump wants Jerome Powell to make Red Cut and be forced to print money. Because America does not just follow Donald Trump's words, there are different protocols in each sector, Donald Trump also has to follow them. So if money is printed, businessmen will invest in different sectors of America and it will be easier for Donald Trump to manage the country and it will also be convenient for him to pay off the country's debt.
I have provided a picture of the global M2 money supply chart here that you can see. M2 means the combined account of the world's economies. For example, in America, UK, China, Japan, when Global M2 increases, it means that more money is being released into the market, which means that liquidity is being increased. According to a study and chart, if Global M2 increases, then after about 108 days, an uptrend movement is also seen in the price of Bitcoin. And according to this chart, the one-year correction rate is about 92%, which indicates a strong relationship with Bitcoin. That is, if you only look at Global M2, you can get an idea of where the price of Bitcoin can go in the future. Now, what you need to know is what is happening now, so I will say that Global M2 has a strong uptrend again. There is a possibility of a blast BLAST-OFF on May 8, 2025. This may mean that Bitcoin is preparing for a big rally again. If Global M2 continues to increase, then Bitcoin can be a good opportunity for investors. Now if the question arises why this chart relationship is so important? This chart teaches us an important thing, Bitcoin does not move only because of market traders or news, there are deep economic factors behind it such as money printing, red cut, inflation rate, etc.
Today's discussion concludes here. I hope you've found it interesting. Please share your thoughts on today's topic. Prayers for everyone. May everyone be well. Amen.



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The global policy is actually going somewhere as I am so sure of that. It is just a matter of time before we see the Manifestation of it. In fact, we are so sure that it will manifest
Hi, I don't like recessions, I hope it doesn't happen, nice post my friend.👍👍👍