Here’s the Inflation – in Stocks, Real Estate, Higher Ed ~ Ryan McMaken … (Death of the Dollar–32) with Link to Full Story

in Project HOPE4 years ago

Inflation is hiding in plain sight. And it’s already extracting our wealth.

Ryan McMaken –

"Where's the Inflation? It's in Stocks, Real Estate, and Higher Ed"
(Right-click title to see original story)


(Image source)

– Flash Points –

1 – Price Changes are not Homogeneous
2 – No Deflation Here: Housing, Healthcare, Stocks, and Education
3 – Low Inflation Is Not "No" Inflation
         (The above 3 points are repeated verbatim from McMaken’s article.)

– Synopsis –

In a recent article for Mises Institute, senior editor Ryan McMaken explains how inflation is already upon us, and that it’s hiding in plain sight.

Inflation – It Depends Where You Look

Whether or not we experience or even notice inflation may vary widely, depending on our socio-economic status, our age, or various other factors.

For instance, the price of oil has dropped over the past few years. Therefore, anyone whose business relies heavily on transportation would likely not see any inflation. Similarly, clothing prices have also been dropping, meaning that inflation might not be noticed by those operating in that sector. 

Inflation – Look Here 

On the other hand, anyone buying real estate or stocks, or anyone enrolled in higher education or needing healthcare, will probably realize that inflation is hitting them hard. Over the past decade, the cost of higher education has grown 30%. During the same period, housing prices are up about 50%, and the Dow Jones has risen over 100%.     (Image source)

Inflation – Look Closely 

Even though inflation may appear to be low or slow, it is in fact occurring, and it may be coming faster than we believe. In fact, at a supposedly “low”  level of 2% inflation, purchasing power will be cut in half over 20 years.

– Insight from Outside –

Inflation can proceed just as bankruptcy does – first slowly, then all of a sudden. And when it comes, it will take away much of our wealth. 

Inflation – Coming for Your Wealth

As we saw above, inflation results in a decrease in purchasing power. In a very real sense, that decrease is a form of “wealth extraction.”  If your annual budget for food is, say, $10,000, after 10 years of inflation, that $10,000 might buy you only 6 months’ worth of food.

At the same time, the increase in stock and asset prices is an insidious form of “wealth transfer.”  It’s a tried-and-true method of taking from the poor and giving to the rich.

Furthermore, a knock-on effect is the increasing wealth gap – between the top 10% or so and those in the lower- and middle-income brackets.

Inflation is coming – for you.    (Image source)

          Previous posts in this series – "Death of the Dollar, Posts 1–30"  









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Hello @majes.tytyty
Another interesting article.
You are quite right when you say that we perceive inflation depending on various factors.
I think the lower classes suffer most from this reality, and they perceive it every day. Even if it's gradual, the reality is that it can consume the little that we have, without us realizing it.
This year has been very particular in this inflationary aspect, although it has been going on steadily for more than a decade now.
We will see what happens, I think it is increasingly necessary to learn to invest, to do business, about cryptomonies, among other things. We have to educate ourselves much more.

You're right in saying that this has been going on for more than a decade. It's just that in the past 10 years or so, the trend has gained steam and the effects have started to be felt.

And of course, it's the lower classes that will suffer most. They have very little disposable income, so inflation will hurt them more. They may not be able to afford as much food or other essentials. The rich, on the other hand, will always be able to buy plenty of food and plenty of non-essential crap, too.

Yes, it's certainly a coming reality. It's unfortunate. You can see it already, but I think most people solving, or trying to solve the day-to-day seems not to realize that this reality is hitting them.

So true. Most people are completely oblivious, and will probably remain so, even as the economy continues crashing around them.

 4 years ago 

Hi @majes.tytyty

Another interesting publication, absolutely worth reading. Thanks for sharing your experience view on this particular topic buddy

Whether or not we experience or even notice inflation may vary widely, depending on our socio-economic status, our age, or various other factors.
For instance, the price of oil has dropped over the past few years. Therefore, anyone whose business relies heavily on transportation would likely not see any inflation. Similarly, clothing prices have also been dropping, meaning that inflation might not be noticed by those operating in that secto

Both of those examples are interesting and proving, that even with enormous amount of money pumped into economy .. we can actually experience deflation instead of inflation.

One can ask: how is that even possible, right?

And the answer is quite straight forward: inflation is result of amount of money cheasing available products/goods. Right now there is so much money pumped into economies, however those money usually are not being spend. Consumers are saving, instead of spending. So we may experience deflation for quite some time.

The thing is, that once economies will start recovering and money flow will increase (at the same time amount of goods and services available will shrink, since many businesses will close down) - then most likely we will experience very high inflation.

Have a great weekend buddy,
Yours, Piotr

I'm afraid that might happen. And that one cannot be prepared for an economic onslaught of such magnitude.
Perhaps the pandemic will even minimize the effects of the economic crisis. And be part of the cause.
Time will tell us the truth. Jewel that to prepare friend @crypto.piotr

Good points, particularly about deflation. I know that in countries with high inflation, citizens do not save, since their money will be worth so much less by tomorrow, or next week, or next month. So, they spend money today.

However, currently, people still have no reason to spend. But once inflation hits, watch out!!

Hi @majes.tytyty
I think that the main difficulty for saving is that you don't earn enough even to be able to save, most families in countries with high inflation rate are solving day by day. And saving becomes almost impossible for many

That's true, particularly in the past 2 decades or more. Saving is almost impossible, so many people rely on credit to make ends meet. Quite simply, it's a recipe for disaster – for not only the individuals, but also for the economy as a whole.

Inflation definitely has its effect on the economy and mostly the citizens are directly affected by this effect since not everyone will be capable to cope when such occurs but it's really very best if the government considers the effect on it's citizens before implementing inflation policies.

Thanks for sharing this great post with love from @hardaeborla and I hope you have a great day ahead
💖💕❤️💕💖❤️💖❤️💕❤️💖❤️💕💖

Hello, @majes.tytyty... There are particular cases in which inflation has a very rapid rise and practically disappears in the middle class, generating a great gap that separates the very poor and the very rich. This type of inflation devours the purchasing power in a matter of hours, you literally wake up poorer every day, however there are many alternatives in the financial world that can help us and overcome this!

There may be alternatives, but we also need those alternative strategies and policies to be properly carried out by the powers-that-be.

Would inflation in equities imply that is where one should keep their money? For example, the S&P 500 is trading 192% higher from 10 years ago while gold is trading 50% higher. Even if a large amount of the increase is cause by fed money printing, I assume the inflated prices wouldn't go away unless the money supply is reduced, so it would still be rational to hold equities right?

It is kind of messed up that our governments incentivize risky behavior and then blame capitalism when the public and companies don't save enough.

https://www.longtermtrends.net/stocks-vs-gold-comparison/

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