On understanding and perceiving ups and downs in the business cycles; Being a good trade outlook, a neutral trade outlook, and a negative trade outlook!
We are here to work, and we should be serious with what we are doing, and we should be available for the firms where they are, and we cannot be exploited about what is going on when we are here, and today, we are looking on the markets, and we are perceiving that some businesses are good, some have zero surplus, and some have negative accounting figures, and there are few being engaged with marketing strategies, marketing, information, strategy and good things while we are here as we are, and we should always give our best human efforts to the firm, and any human body can turn the economic and none-economic situations about how things are, and we should use the competence and the market competence, and what we have learned of anybody being in Bergen at NHH and SNF where we have been, and there are different intelligence levels there and there are none persons thinking literature and freedom and diversity and new research through the whole day and the night while we are here, and we should be our own masters in the life, and the research and development we are taking care of ourselves when being where we are. And some schools are bad ranked, and we should go in the best schools of any today, and that is Oxford, Cambridge, Princeton, Stanford, MIT and Harvard, and there are too bad of the number of publications many places and there is also too bad quality about the work, and every research report is often a combination of numbers, letters and symbols, and we have not the same framing many of us, and therefore the life is strange sometimes, and people are just living and working and have none explanations, and that is not the reason while we are having studies and study programs, and even the presidents and the prime ministers today are validated in what they are saying and writing, and that is true for many people being engaged different places when we are here and there as we are.
So, if there is optimism in any market there can be valid or stupid reasons for that, as is the case of all things in the life while we are here, and life is both easy and complex when being in the life, and we are doing the same and the different things, and therefore some people try to understand us, but the life and its environments we are using ourselves, and we are challenging Bergen to any times anywhere and we are not sure about SNF, even when being a part oneself in a research report about the platforms in the North Sea while we are here, and we must open the channels, and we cannot just close these things with stupid comments, and we are just using the availability and the accessibility ourselves when being here and there, and every day is a new day to learn. And we cannot always know what is coming, and the life is tedious if we are knowing anything anywhere to any times, and this is the reason why we have predictability and uncertainty in our scientific models.
So, we are not certain about Ragnar Frisch, and what he did, but we are certain that he was much better than the main part in Norway, and life is a life while being constantly in opposition, and we are just bounded rational, with limitations in what is going on in the work, and the chatting behavior, and we should just be ourselves, and responsible for own thinking, feeling and acting, and things should also be done in intelligent manners.
And any business cycle describes the natural fluctuations in economic activity over time, alternating between periods of growth (boom/upswing) and decline (recession/downturn), and there are many people not knowing these things, people are guessing, and some are knowing things, and therefore we should be confident with our own self-confidence and holding us to facts and fictions when we are here, and the life is a competition, using competitive strategies as prices and qualities, when being in the life as we are, and many people do not have education and research, and therefore there are an endless number of opinions with stupid and sensible causes and explanations, and this is how we are perceiving the life as researchers while we are here, and personally I am often thinking on NHH and SNF in Bergen, and we should do it better!
So, the business cycles can be modeled by using Statistics, and there is probabilities that can be measured about how much up and down things can move in any market, and what can be done totally in the nation and between the nations, and for all the nations, and what is happening can be measured by Gross National Product, Production, Employment and Consumption, and there are many people not knowing what I am knowing and that is also true for researchers, and everything should be evaluated and validated to any times anywhere, and we are not sure about the organizations, and the reasons are that we are having these heavy research courses from Bergen, and in Kristiansand, there are few to know the same from Bergen just as I am knowing when knowing what I am knowing.
So, the business cycles can be measured by probabilities and outcomes and quantities, and we are just ourselves, and the life we are determining myself when being here and there. And security and strategies, we must take care of ourselves when being here. So, booms and upswings are periods with strong economic growth, high demand and low unemployment, and recessions and downturns are periods with low or negative growth, reduced demand and increased unemployment.
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And Hotel Arendal, that is a nice place to stay, and also enjoying the life of the people being out in the time in meetings of friends, and liking parties!
Sverre Larsen
Kristiansand, Norway
