Iran war capability restoration

in #iranyesterday

Recent satellite images have shown that Iran cleared bunkers ,silos and launch pads just 2 days into the ceasefire.

This shows that they have very quickly ramped up their ability to launch hundreds of missiles per day . a resounding number give the interceptor stocks of its adversaries is severely diminished. The coalition forces should be worried as Iran in the first 2 days of the war itself had launched more than 700 missiles and 1000 drones .

In conventional war, if one opponent loses control of the skies, it usually means the destruction of its equipment and military structures, stripping the army of its ability to react.

Everything becomes vulnerable to attacks from the skies above - from barracks to small checkpoints.
But asymmetric warfare is inherently different. You prepare for a conflict in which you will be heavily bombed and must respond with resilience and gradual deployment, turning the war into a long, exhausting, and attritional struggle . The key point to be able to perform asymmetrical warfare - something Iran has done admirably is to ensure that military structures are housed underground bunkers which should be able to withstand multiple waves of bombings .

Iran being a mountainous country has housed a majority of these military installations deep inside the mountains using the natural topology to their benefit . Something akin to what the Vietnamese did in their jungles .

These military installations has needed significant investment and long-term planning and has spanned decades. The cost estimate for the Iranian project is in the ballpark of $15-20 billion, with dozens of underground bases for storage, maintenance, and assembly of military equipment.

In addition to the missile force, the navy and air force also have these underground bases.

Iran seems to have modelled this setup on the North Koreans where there are an estimated 5000 of these units underground . While Iran does not have these many units , they seem better prepared for this kind of warfare.

While protecting military equipment is one of the main responsibilities , a force geared towards asymmetric warfare needs multiple supply routes and dispersed depots for fuel, food, and other essentials required for troops . This is one of the most challenging factors for countries made up of the kind of terrain that Iran has and without continental connections when trying to wage asymmetric war.

Iran has successfully adapted to asymmetric warfare on land through the training of militias (or proxies as they are called ) and has had massive investment in drone development and operations. When it comes to the naval component, Iran has surged forward with the development and improvement of its mini-submarines, ultra-fast USVs, and UUVs. When it comes to aerial warfare , Iran has gone ahead with kamikaze drones, interceptor drones, and bomber drones, while small, highly mobile air defense systems operate to hinder surveillance and low-altitude aircraft operations. This proves vital in providing greater security for the missile force. Since these aerial units can take out surveillance drones over their territory , missile units are able to operate effectively.

Iran’s war show similar traits with Ukraine’s war against russia and is helping in reshaping concepts and leading to a completely different strategy of conflict, one that is protracted, exhausting, and extremely costly.

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