Oil vs Call Volume. Call buying just hit a 10 YEAR HIGH

in #oil3 days ago

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Oil vs Call Volume.

Call buying just hit a 10 YEAR HIGH.

That means the entire market is leaning the same way.

Everyone is long oil.

And when positioning gets this crowded while war risk is rising, the setup becomes extremely dangerous.

Because the market is no longer reacting to headlines.

It is pricing escalation.

Trump is already saying there will be NO deal without capitulation.

That removes the idea of a quick diplomatic exit.

The market is preparing for a longer conflict and a bigger supply shock.

If this spreads, oil does not move alone:

  • Capital rotates.
  • Metals follow.
  • Yields follow.

Liquidity starts leaving risk.

  • Stocks lose support.
  • Crypto loses support.
  • Volatility rises.

Most people do not understand this.

A massive oil long is not just an energy trade.

It is a macro bet on fear and inflation.

And when too much money crowds into the same trade, the move accelerates.

You can already see it.

Sky cofounder opened a $5.7M crude long at $92.

At the same time options traders are buying upside exposure at record levels.

Call volume at a 10 year high tells you traders expect much higher oil.

Now add war escalation on top of that.

One headline and this trade gets chased violently.

Higher oil means higher inflation.

Higher inflation means higher yields.

Higher yields drain liquidity.

Stocks and crypto dump.

Capital is rotating into oil, gold and hard assets while risk markets fight for liquidity.

That is a market preparing for fear and escalation.

For the record, I was the only one publicly calling the exact Oil bottom at $40 one year ago and the top at $120 2 days ago.

If you missed those calls, don’t worry. I’ll call the next one too.

Turn notifications on. If you’re not following yet, you’ll understand why that was a mistake later.

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