Soccer Predictions for 26/09/2017

in #soccer7 years ago

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Here are my predictions for the 26th September 2017.

MatchPredictionProbabilityMy OddsBetfair Odds
Bristol v BoltonBristol77.481.291.50
Hull v PrestonHull70.711.412.20
Middlesbrough v NorwichMiddlesbrough73.471.361.9
Millwall v ReadingMillwall66.591.502.15

I'm going to bet these just on paper for a week or two to confirm my win rate holds at an acceptable level before doing any actual gambling. So I'll start with an imaginary £10 pot and put a £1 single bet on each prediction. When the pot gets above £20, I'll raise the bet to £2, over £30, £3, etc. I'll drop the bet in a similar way if the pot starts to drop too but only down to the £1 minimum.

I'll be predicting from English Premier League & Championship, Scottish Premiership, Italian Serie A, Dutch Eredivisie, Spanish Primera División and French Ligue 1.

Opening balance: £10.00
Bets: 4 * £1 singles
Remaining balance: £6.00

Predicted with some ugly Python code.
I've posted articles explaining how it was done - Part1, Part2, Part3, Part4.
Code available here.

Sort:  

Yeah, me too. If my win rate stays around 70% and I don't bet at odds below 1.50 then it's all good. :-D

Hmmm, only 2 wins out of 4. Hull & Middlesbrough both let me down.

Winnings: £3.65
Closing Balance: £9.65