A little analysis of the Steem economy

in #steem18 days ago

Hello, I invite you to the world of numbers.

Some of you may know that I love statistics. It allows you to see a more general picture. Lately, especially due to a job change, I've been short on time and can't be as active on Steemit as I used to be. However, I try to follow everything and when I had a free moment, I decided to devote it to some research.

After the recent rise in the price of STEEM, most are feeling euphoric. There are talks about wealth and a cloudless future. But my post, while it's about the Steem economy, has nothing to do with that.

Among his many tools, @justyy lists the top 3,000 richest accounts. I thought this was a good sample for a little analysis of the Steem economy. I have been working on this list for a few days and I want to share the results.

Sample

As I mentioned, the sample consists of 3,000 accounts. If we consider the Current Supply value found on steemworld.org as the amount of all STEEM printed, then:

  • The share of all STEEM of this sample is 66.59 %
  • The share of all SBD of this sample is 95.10%
  • Total PowerDown - 0.93%
  • The number of accounts currently doing PowerDown is 241 out of 3000.

The structure of the economy

If in real life the structure of the economy depends on each enterprise, then in the STEEM ecosystem it depends on the activity of each account. I had to analyze three thousand accounts to get an overall picture.

I have divided the accounts into categories, which I will talk about below. In general, the distribution of resources is as follows.

By Effective SP:

image.png

By liquid STEEM

image.png

By SBD

image.png

Hodlers

I was surprised that among the richest accounts there are many that do not show any activity. I called them hodlers. It is likely that some of these accounts will no longer show signs of life due to the loss of access keys or the death of the owner.

In total, I counted 371 such accounts. Hodlers hold 9.37% of all STEEM and 2.14% of all SBD. These accounts do not harm the economy, quite the opposite, as they prevent the sale of large amounts of STEEM/SBD. At least for now.

Exchanges

I was able to identify 22 accounts belonging to exchanges. They hold 52% of all STEEM and 55.7% of all SBD.

I think it is good for any cryptocurrency if it is traded on as many exchanges as possible. However, in the case of STEEM/SBD, cryptocurrency exchanges own too much of a stake🤔 .

Bots

In this category, I included all accounts that provide paid voting services. I found 46 of them. In total, bots own 13.8% of all STEEM and 0% of SBD. "Total STEEM" includes both the own STEEM of these accounts and the STEEM delegated to them.

I've said more than once that in my opinion voting services harm the STEEM economy, because they motivate to write every day, while guaranteeing fixed rewards. This does not motivate the creation of quality content. The meaning of writing something interesting is lost, the sense of curation is lost, the social aspect, which is the basis of this blockchain, is lost.

Milking rewards

I came across 14 accounts whose activities cannot be called anything other than reward milking. They vote for the same authors every day, although it is difficult to call the posts worth it. These accounts hold 0.7% of all STEEM and 0% of SBD. They certainly do not benefit the STEEM ecosystem, but the magnitude of the damage should not be overstated.

Manual curation

1,658 out of 3,000 accounts are engaged in manual curation. Most of them also publish posts and comments. That is, more than half of Steem users behave organically, looking for social interaction. I was amused by these data. 🙂

Self support

887 accounts are engaged in self-support, that is, they have delegated the absolute majority of their SP to voting services. Such accounts publish a lot of low-quality posts and do not vote for other authors.

It should be noted that there are exceptions here. Several accounts have delegated some of their SP and continue to interact with the community. But you can count them on the fingers of one hand.

steem.dao

steem.dao owns 35.28% of all SBD. Is it good or bad? I guess it's a good thing this SBD wasn't sold 😄.

A few conclusions

It was a pleasant surprise for me that 46% of effective SP is involved in manual curation. It seems that our affairs are not so bad. Of course, the main credit here goes to the Steemit team with its large share, but there are other manual curators and this is encouraging.

I was also surprised by the large number of hodlers and the amounts in their accounts. I suspect that a significant number of them appeared as a result of the great split.

And finally, if you add effective SP and liquid STEEM, the structure of the Seeem economy will be as follows:

image.png

So is the Steem economy healthy or sick? 🤔😃

Sort:  

Interesting analysis. The size of the "Hodlers" category seemed surprising to me. I wouldn't have expected a substantial chunk of SP to be in inactive accounts.

I was able to identify 22 accounts belonging to exchanges. They hold 52% of all STEEM and 55.7% of all SBD.

Having a list of exchange accounts might be useful for other people who want to analyze things. It would be good if there was some sort of canonical, maintained, publicly available list of them.

These accounts do not harm the economy, quite the opposite, as they prevent the sale of large amounts of STEEM/SBD. At least for now.

I guess it's a good thing this SBD wasn't sold

Selling things isn't necessarily bad, in order for a sale to happen there has to be a buyer on the other side, so why be opposed to coins changing hands? It's not clear that currency sitting unused in hoards is good. And if big accounts never trade or transfer their coins then the distribution will stay very concentrated. It seems to me that economies work better when things flow, not when everything is static.

The size of the "Hodlers" category seemed surprising to me.

I was also very surprised. It's amazing that someone left the accounts with such large sums of money. I think most of them have lost their access keys. Although this is also strange. How can keys to accounts with thousands of dollars be treated so lightly.

It seems to me that economies work better when things flow, not when everything is static.

I think you are right, at least you have convinced me of your point of view. Cryptocurrency must "live", circulate. Having a huge fund will always be a threat, because there will be someone who wants to get access to it.

Manual curation is essential for the growth of this entire ecosystem. Another aspect to consider is that the most resilient and loyal users of Steemit should be gradually rewarded, and these regular and more active users can easily be found through a query... Since I also come from a numbers background, I really enjoyed this post for the data analysis presented.

...All the best.

loyal users of Steemit should be gradually rewarded

Interesting point of view. I think such users should gain popularity during their activity and receive constant support from the curators. Unfortunately, we currently have too few curators. For example, do we have curators who are able to professionally evaluate the work of photographers? It would be great if we had themed curators who reward photographers, artists, poets, etc. d.

completely agree....Cheers :)

I agree with you, there are alot of loyal and active steemians who are always ignored in this platform and they deserve support.

IMG_20241129_181904_392.jpg

17% 'normal' users? ... hmmmm ... Sick!

Thank you for this thorough analysis, you are very diligent... 🤗
Is that healthy or sick? ...😉

My initial thoughts are that 17% feels optimistic. 1 in 5 users is ‘normal’? The other 4 are busy taking a ‘Learning’ challenge.

The other 4 are busy

Yes, it is quite optimistic. Especially as we don't know the exact definition of 'normal'... 😉

Normal (Steemit) - To obtain votes by whatever means necessary.

I would add the source but I can't see to find it any more. It looks accurate to me though.

you are very diligent... 🤗
Is that healthy or sick? ...😉

Definitely sick, because I could have used this time with more benefit 😆

17% 'normal' users

By "normal" I meant users who engage in manual curation. I did not take into account their activity as authors, since it would take me an obscene amount of time. 🙂

Thank you for the analysis!

It is very interesting that so much Steem seems to be in "inactive" accounts. Consider that exchange accounts aren't actually active parts of the social side, and add the "HODLers" to that, and you have a lot of Steem.

It'll be interesting to see how this holds up in e.g. 3 months, if the price of Steem remains higher, and SBD continues to be printed.

It'll be interesting to see how this holds up

I will not be surprised if after the start of the bear market some of these "hodlers" wake up and start selling STEEM.

3 months

I will try to do a similar analysis in a few months, I am also interested, but everything will depend on the availability of free time. 😃

Боти: 46 акаунтів забезпечують платні голосування. Вони володіють 13.8% STEEM.

Не знав, що на Стіміті таке досі є. Але мабуть справді їхній вплив мінімальний і економіка Стіміт радше здорова, ніж хвора, бо колись це була справжня чума, яка ледь не знищила всю екосистему.

бо колись це була справжня чума

Ця чума і досі процвітає. Є сотні акаунтів, які заробляють серйозні гроші завдяки ботам. Це не помітно в нашій українській спільноті, але серед акаунтів, які мають сотні тисяч SP, лише одиниці не користуються ботами.

серед акаунтів, які мають сотні тисяч SP, лише одиниці не користуються ботами.

Тобто ці кити голосують за певний відсоток винагороди від поста, як у хайві? Бо колись треба було платити наперед і дійшло до абсурду, коли це стало невигідним, але багато-хто не міг цього прорахувати((

Є різні системи, але найпопулярніша, це делегування свого SP боту, а бот голосує за кожен твій допис (не більше 1 разу в день). Сила голосу залежить від кількості делегованого SP. Наприклад мій голос зараз коштує 33 центи. Якщо б я делегував увесь свій SP ботові то отримав би голос на 3,3 долара (UPVU) або 6,6 долара (UPEX). Якось так. Але тоді ніякої мотивації створювати цікавий контент чи взаємодіяти з іншими авторами.

Ну, ця система має право на життя, я вважаю, але з певними обмеженнями і модеруванням дописів, як у нашій спільноті (хоча все ж я б трохи їх змінив, в бік меншого використання згенерованих ШІ картинок, хоча вони часто навіть збирають непогані апвоути від кураторів), бо гарантовано отримувати голос просто за набір слів не сприяє появі якісного контенту на платформі.

Thank you for the great analysis of the STEEM economy!

(1)
You categorized 3,000 accounts into manual curation, bot, exchange, self support, etc. by role, and explained well how they own effective SP, liquid STEEM, SBD, etc.

(2)

Structure of the Steem economy: bots 15%, normal users 17%

I was surprised to see that the influence of bots, which account for only 1.5% (22 accounts), on the STEEM economy is almost the same as the influence of normal users, which account for 55.3% (1,658 accounts), on the STEEM economy.

(3)

So is the Steem economy healthy or sick?

I think it depends on whether we consider Steemit (1) as a coin staking system or (2) as a content platform like an online community or social media. :)

I think it depends on whether we consider Steemit (1) as a coin staking system or (2) as a content platform

Correct remark. I think Steemit has a more promising future as a content platform or social media. If everyone will just stake coins, then there is no point in investing in such a system. 🙂

Hello @o1eh! You are Top-notch!


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