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RE: Steemit Update: HF21 Testnet, SPS, EIP, Rewards API, SMTs!

in #steemit7 years ago (edited)

...we have been hard at work adding the changes to Hardfork 21...

There isn’t much info or a link for the final SPS and EIP proposals for this fork. Where can we see that information?

As shown in the charts, 2e12 approaches our current linear rewards at roughly 16 STEEM...

At the current STEEM price (which seems to be pegged at $0.40 - somebody stop that, please), this would bring the curve to linear at ~$6.40. I think this is ridiculously low and will neither “bring balance” nor be “meaningful.”

The main reason this EIP was pitched was to mitigate bid bots. I disagree with that reason for the changes, although I do agree that the protocol changes are good. But this “2e12” algorithm will have practically zero effect on bid bots, so I wonder why such a relatively short superlinear curve is being touted as the ideal and a “meaningful” curve.

Not to mention the fact that many human voters can also put a post into the full linear algorithm with a single vote. This seems that it will only have an effect on smaller voters/voting. That isn’t necessarily bad, but it doesn’t address what most of the promoters of the EIP are hoping to “fix.”

I would prefer a longer, more gradual trip between superlinear and linear. “Popular” and highly-rewarded content should require more voters and/or larger votes from the most invested users. I don’t think linearity at 16 STEEM accomplishes the goal of properly discovering and rewarding such content.

If you could, please link to the rest of the hard fork info. I’m sure readers would appreciate it.

[EDIT]

I see that a link for the EIP has been added to this post - a link that takes us to a post from last month from @steemitblog regarding the initial proposal. So, I'm going to assume that whatever protocols were mentioned there are what is being proposed for HF21.

Oh, right...no specifics about the protocols were mentioned. So, I'm going to assume that we are working with the following:

  1. The "2e12" curve mentioned in this post.
  2. 50/50 content rewards split.
  3. A downvote pool with an unspecified amount of voting power.
  4. An unfunded SPS.

With this info to work with, here is my stance:

  1. This is wholly insufficient and practically meaningless.
  2. I am in favor of this.
  3. I am indifferent.
  4. Seems pointless to have a proposal system with no funding, so this is a waste of code.

Overall, with the information provided, I would not approve this hard fork. I would suggest that the protocols are revised or that the complete information is publicly provided and linked in the original post.

For more info on my own positions/proposals regarding the SPS and EIP, you can read these two posts:

https://steemit.com/steem/@ats-david/thoughts-on-the-steem-proposal-system-sps

https://steemit.com/steem/@ats-david/thoughts-on-the-steem-economic-improvement-proposal-eip

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I feel similarly and will reject this hardfork. I agree about 1) and 4), but I'm more negative on 2) and 3) than you are.

I'll add that 50/50 is also insufficient; bid-bots will continue to be profitable till it's something like 20/80. What they lose out in author rewards allocation, much of it they make back in increased curation rewards. Similarly, rampant self-voters will get 100% irrespective of the splits anyway, so they don't really care. Overall, I'm indifferent, because, despite its ineffectiveness in solving the alleged issues, and disincentivizing content creation, it should hypothetically encourage people to curate and power up more.

I'm against a free-for-all downvote pool with no abuse mitigation protocols and an undefined amount of voting power. I've been campaigning for viable downvotes since the beginning, but this is a facile implementation. Even the zealots/fanboys of this hardfork will admit that this will bring around some toxicity, but it's a "necessary evil". To which I'll say - if you really think encouraging toxicity has any place in a "social" network, at any point, you know your entire system is due for an absolute and complete overhaul. I'm tempted to invoke Godwin's law, but I'll pass. To be clear, I do think things will settle down, and it may marginally benefit the economy. Like you, my opinion has little consequence to the consensus, but I don't want any part of this anti-social network as a witness.

The only solution is a complete overhaul from scratch. When they get around to it, and is designed by people who understand elementary human behaviour, I'll consider returning.

The only solution is a complete overhaul from scratch. When they get around to it, and is designed by people who understand elementary human behaviour, I'll consider returning.

Agreed. Maybe a small group of people should put in a proposal to SPS to fund an economic team. Tweaking the same parameters every HF is just not going to do what is promised - we need to look deeper.

But why get rid of the bidbots when it's better for business to cater to plagiarists and folks willing to extract tokens with as little effort as possible so they can dump them as soon as they are received? Why would it make sense to encourage actual content producers to do well, attract millions of potential curators, and the billions of dollars they bring with them? It's counter productive to want to find ways to attract billions of dollars to this platform. A few dollars in the hands of a plagiarist and a few thousand in the hands of the few who promote them is WAY SMARTER for business than if we had millions of consumers and billions of dollars pouring in. Everyone knows that!

Positive perception... is what is destroyed through vote selling. I've said this over and over again in posts I've written as well as comments.

Any serious high quality content creator runs a mile when they see how the system works on steem. The levels of shit content on steem aren't just the result of con artists, plagiarism and spam artists... it's also the result of a huge amount of people of quality either leaving, or never joining in the first place when they see how the system is set up.

Believe me, I pitched an idea for a steem community marketing up-and-coming authors to a friend who works in publishing in early 2018. After many conversations the jist of what she said was; that the system was far too corrupt for them to get involved and risk reputation or their clients interest.

Big mainstream entertainment industry investment is what will bring huge value to steem. And this will not happen the way things are working now.

I have horror stories as well. I once nearly convinced a top chef in Canada to hire a blogger and do foodie articles to promote his business and menu. I had him until he saw the front page, and I had to explain why some of that trash was there. He wasn't comfortable putting his name and image next to anything like that and also said, "If I was caught buying positive reviews for my business, I would be ruined." Dude is a millionaire, drives a fast car. No doubt he would have purchased some STEEM. Articles that double as advertisments that could potentially earn enough to pay the blogger, plus have a free form of advertising, along with a platform that allows free publishing, those links can be then passed around social media. It's an easy sell until you see the disaster these folks have created with their paid votes. If someone comes and sees it's impossible to compete without paying a toll, they just take the traditional route, because it's easier and more effective. Current front page drives eyes away. Why would anyone invest in that? That approach is only for the amateurs who don't know the business, which is why the vote sellers market their service as something that leads to success. Pros already know how to be successful. They don't need the "miracle cure."

@nonameslefttouse that is stunning. People like that are presented the blockchain alone is tough enough, but having someone that may have actually considered implementing steem/steemit into their business and feels they can't is mind-boggling to me. You are right, that is where the real growth is going to come. There needs to be some level of saturation of regular users within businesses like this. Getting new users is hard enough, steemit's focus I believe should be more on retention and let the success stories in their own carry your marketing effort for you.

One hundred percent, every change should be focused on getting "regular people" onto steem. This whole chasing of investor dollars is silly. This myriad of problems we have would be an annoyance instead of an ecosystem if the userbase were truly in the millions and not just "millions of accounts". We need the voices of people who don't have the time or energy to waste trying to game the system. That's where the "your upvote directly rewards content creators" pitch matters. They don't care about getting 50% of their pennies back.

The cool thing is if you feel you have a better idea there is an opportunity to create your own sidechain with steem-engine...

I'm the user I think there should be more of. I haven't got any tech savvy, really. I think steem is a great idea as advertised, the implementation just makes it tough to be joe schmoe on here.

Yep same here. I think keeping people like yourself and me as well needs to be more of a priority if possible.

I hear you m8. Yeah, that sounds very familiar.

If someone comes and sees it's impossible to compete without paying a toll, they just take the traditional route, because it's easier and more effective. Current front page drives eyes away. Why would anyone invest in that?

Absolutely spot on. There is a big issue on steem with some of the biggest SP holders having nothing to do with, and no interest in content creation, or understanding how this can be a virtuous cycle that brings increasing investment when incentives are there and are honest.

Lol, but I'm gonna retire from this comment thread I think.

I agree. A simple directory creation for upvote purchasing may also be the answer. Allot one spot over the top twenty (non-botted payments), say the 20th one, at that, and have a random pop up feature that has any paid for/bot voted on any given search or hash tag. Then you would have to define what a bot necessarily is. My definition- a group of voting delegation for the apparent overwhelming purpose of selling votes with little to no precondition of content quality or other affiliation to that group or other subgroup in benefiting blockchain growth through original creativity or original programming. I use an example.... @steemmonsters (or the re-branded name of @splinterlands may be more appropriate). They would be the golden goose as far is this is concerned. Creating alternate tokens, building an upvote pool that was created for the purpose of benefiting their players that have done some level of content creation that is original and commentary on their game with forums now that are also tokenized. Versus bidbot X, that upvotes the person with steem/sbd ready to spend, and yes does some level of quality control but cannot be expected to patrol thousands of posts a day if they are big enough as a vote service. If more whales saw the benefits in delegating portions of their steem to causes like this, and would even actively participate or even sell the assets generated due to delegating to this venture the economy would open up... beyond belief. The upvote that carried by SM also is limited, so even the most heavily promoted post is no more than like 7-$8 at the moment, so there is certainly no guarantee that that vote purchasing will guarantee that even that post is guaranteed to land in overall trending searches. If the paid for upvoting services were collected, and listed less prominently and openly displayed as "promoted posts," again, showing up every so often rather having all posts at the top, then maybe that could also show some level of integrity of voted posts. Also with the hike in curation I am also for the bigger fish curating more because they should, they are bringing the capital to the table. The people that are whales on here are not people that went to STINC HQ and said "give me your steem," then ran out the back door and rode away in getaway cars, somehow they earned it whether we agree or disagree in how they did earn it under rules for the blockchain at the time is beside the fact, it is theirs to do with it what they wish. Long story short, opening the economy up to more users and getting actual movement in steem and SP to people that are here and doing legit work and building communities is where you are going to win. People showing up need to have a reason to stay, simply getting them here is not enough. There is a lot of support and energy that goes into that. When respectable retention becomes possible over time then we will truly see changes. I think labeling any article that has any vote within the post under a clearly defined definition of bought votes and is listed as promoted will be a great start in my humble opinion to having some credibility, among also generating some diversity in thought among those that are at the top. It seems very "group-thinkish" in how resources can be spread, or the group-think is very heavily enforced because real answers for re-invigorating the steemit economy is not being allowed into the hardforks in my humble opinion, at least since I have been here.

All that complexity, for nothing. If I want to go on stage, I'm not going to buy the tickets for the seats in the theater. I don't even see why people put so much thought into buying votes, when all that does it force the performer to perform in front of an empty house = no money. There are business models that have been around for centuries, they work. All this buying votes nonsense and coin stacking and people wanting handouts and miracle cures goes against everything that actually works.

Exactly, those cheating authors using those cheating bid-bots cheated the steem economic model.

Everyone knows: When you cheat, you win, and everyone respects you for it.

That is true far more often than it should be.

Everyone knows:

In retail: It's best to embrace the shoplifters and kick out the consumers. That's how you make money.

In videogames: You don't patch the exploits. Allows consumers to complain and hope they stop playing the game. That's how you make money.

Everyone knows this.

I know you are being sarcastic but your original comment is really true. Look at Trevon James. Doesn’t matter how much he pushed the ponzi BitConnect (and even created a Steem Engine token to push BitConnect 2.0) even thou people lost millions and it is under a current lawsuit. As long as he can give votes or the chance of giving something of value people will forget and worship him.

All of those people deserve to get scammed, if getting scammed is what they're into. Much like how so many here deserve to lose out on billions. That's what they want. Plagiarist still has 10x more rewards next to his post than I do with my previous post. I have no right to be frustrated with that. There's no reason for me to leave. Those other folks who left, thousands of them, good quality people, who cares about them. We need more scammers and corner cutters because those are the people who can build a strong foundation. Just look at the place. Two years of this and still going strong!

It has been determined that you are trash, therefore, you have received a negative vote.

PLEASE NOTE: If you engage with the trash above you also risk receiving a negative vote on your comment.

That's why we need a downvote pool.

We have downvotes. Was it my job the other day to downvote that plagiarist you promoted or was it your job to be responsible and not promote a plagiarist?

As soon as we got the report, the account was blacklisted, but we can't blacklist what we don't know. Which is why it's so important that bad actors are being blacklisted as soon as possible.

However, this only works with services like Smartsteem (& buildawhale for example), that are actually blacklisting bad actors. For the rest, downvotes are needed. Because the accounts that are buying votes on their shit content and are receiving downvotes thus losing money, will learn from it; and the bid-bots that are voting on it, will realize that they're losing money by upvoting shit.

Could I ask what you will do if all posts with vote-purchases start being down-voted after HF21? Will it be a case of accepting this as the new normal and moving on to a new dev project, or will you look to continue, perhaps by some change in the way the business operates?

There's been a lot of talk about how the EIP will affect vote-selling, particularly around high-trending posts, but I've seen relatively little from vote sellers themselves. I would be really interested to hear how vote-selling services expect HF21 to pan out.

Could I ask what you will do if all posts with vote-purchases start being down-voted after HF21? Will it be a case of accepting this as the new normal and moving on to a new dev project, or will you look to continue, perhaps by some change in the way the business operates?

I think this is what some people get wrong. Smartsteem is not what I'm building my future on. It's a solid business model, and it most def. needs some remodelling after/before HF21, but I'm far more interested in Steem succeeding. Which is why we need the downvote pool, as I'm not able to influence anything else directly in the bid-bot/promotion sector besides my own project.

I would be really interested to hear how vote-selling services expect HF21 to pan out.

It will need re-modelling and whitelists/blacklists will become more important than ever, but I'm not able to predict what exactly will happen. Maybe people will start to flag everyone who uses promotion services. Or maybe they'll realize that people using it in moderation on good content is actually acceptable and valuable. However, I'm quite sure that bad content will be far less profitable to make money with.

Thanks. Interesting!

I asked you, with the question being directed to the Smartsteem account, if the money the plagiarist spent had been refunded. You/SmartSteem did not respond. I'm asking again. Was the money refunded?

If the money was not refunded, that means your business made more money promoting plagiarism than I did (and many others) who produced content today.

Just because someone loses money due to downvotes, that does not mean there's no money to be made in upvoting shit.

Nobody deserves to make money through plagiarism directly, or indirectly and that includes you.

I asked you, with the question being directed to the Smartsteem account, if the money the plagiarist spent had been refunded. You/SmartSteem did not respond. I'm asking again. Was the money refunded?

No. Everybody who uses Smartsteem's services is accepting the Terms of Service, which includes a section about abuse.

3 Abuse Policy
(...)
No-refund situations are generally reserved for extreme cases which we identify as significant plagiarism, multiple posts per day using promotion services for very low-quality content (spamming our services), or posts which spread discrimination or hate speech. Smartsteem reserves the right to blacklist and remove votes without refunds in any situation Smartsteem deems as an extreme-case or abuse of Smartsteem services.


If the money was not refunded, that means your business made more money promoting plagiarism than I did (and many others) who produced content today.

No. Smartsteem didn't make anything, it actually lost money/revenue. 100% of liquid rewards are being distributed among delegations and the curation rewards were lost due to the unvote.

Nobody deserves to make money through plagiarism directly, or indirectly and that includes you.

Correct. But it depends of course how exactly the plagiarism was used - was it quoted as part of a blog post; or was it blatant plagiarism.

100% of liquid rewards are being distributed among delegations.

So it's set up in a way where investors would have to take the fall.

That's concerning because if someone were to promote a ponzi, your investors get thrown under the bus.

Correct. But it depends of course how exactly the plagiarism was used - was it quoted as part of a blog post; or was it blatant plagiarism.

Plagiarism is plagiarism. Fair use is fair use. There are laws in place that define these things. That incident I'm talking about was plagiarism, you agreed. It's illegal to make money in that fashion.

Anyway, I won't take up any more of your time today.

You have yourself a good day and let's see where these future changes take us. Hopefully to a better place. There's something we can both agree on.

The blacklist is fine and dandy but I'd prefer to see something a little more proactive rather than reactive. The plaigiarist will pout about losing money and getting caught, move some tokens around, and do it all over again. Blacklisting seems like a waste of resources and that time, energy and money spent could go to a more proactive approach. It's not hard to predict abuse, and we have proof of abuse over the span of years, and many have been calling for a stop to it, for years. The blacklist has been around almost the entire time this disaster of selling votes started. There's no good reason to hand over easy money to scumbags and leeches while forcing thousands of good people to sit back and watch it destroy the place, before they leave.

The plaigiarist will pout about losing money and getting caught, move some tokens around, and do it all over again

QFT.

Its nice that some of the bid bots and vote sellers have blacklists but it was never a good solution, just better than nothing maybe.

The problem came in when bidbots became open sourced, when there were one or two fine, they were structured and had business models, now every anonymous dog and his auntie runs a bidbot, so things are a bit crazy. However I have been on Steem since June 2016 and one thing I know is that having the freedom to boost ones' own posts is way more dignifying than having to beg and lick the you know whats of the whales who held all of the voting power, I think that was subhuman, vote bots are just like every other promotional aspect in life, paying for ads and higher rank on traditional media, getting yourself visible.

Before vote bots a small group of people were getting all the rewards and benefit, with bots it is more widely distributed. It isn't ideal but I for one am happy I can just send some Steem and get some visibility on my post and not dm a few buddies to see if they will help me out in exchange for some witness votes or having to vote them back later.

MinnowBooster is now a less supported bot in terms of delegation, but it supports a whole team of people as can be seen on https://buildteam.io and has helped give rise to projects like @tokenbb and to take over the @ginabot project and keep it running.

Proactive is hard, Ai could be an answer, have it recognise what an abuse post looks like and deny it an upvote, but the issue is there are so many bidbots that if one service blocks them they can go to another. We do have a community whitelist on MinnowBooster that can help as a proactive measure to ensure the larger votes only go to whitelisted authors.

was it your job to be responsible and not promote a plagiarist?

^this 100% this

Yeah but this no unvote bullshit is a huge part of the problem. Oh, but apparently curation rewards trumps doing the right thing and NOT promoting shitbirds posting diarrhea. Ffs

Oh, and !dramatoken

P.S. noticed I got notified on Steem.chat but haven't logged into that shit for weeks. I'll check it now and try to coordinate some flags on it.

Posted using Partiko Android

Also, you can always report any plagiarism to steemcleaners and they can downvote it if you don't want to waste your voting power/risk retaliation.

You don't think we know that already?

The problem is it's not enough on a heavily bid post.

If you were not self-voting this and the next xomments, you would be in the negative...which would show what others really think of you. So why is it honest of you, but not honest of those of us who pay you to sell us votes?

Are you taking this position so as to protect your investment? I'm not saying you shoulld not...just wondering...

It has been determined that you are trash, therefore, you have received a negative vote.

PLEASE NOTE: If you engage with the trash above you also risk receiving a negative vote on your comment.

It has been determined that you are trash, therefore, you have received a negative vote.

PLEASE NOTE: If you engage with the trash above you also risk receiving a negative vote on your comment.

Yes, literally! Everyone knows that! Duh! It's all so simple!!!

Hey, it's fun to joke around and all that but I just noticed you delegate to Tipu bidbot and Tipu's vote hasn't been removed from the instance of plagiarism I recently found boosted up to the trending(joke) page. Here's a link with more information and a link leading to the instance of plagiarism can be found tucked neatly inside that post.

I would like to see that vote removed and the money the plagiarist spent on the vote should go to me because I'm awesome.

Thank you and have a wonderful evening.

I don't delegate to tipU anymore. Those are residuals from prior delegations, I think via some issuance and dividends of tipU coins.

Alright but if you know somebody who knows somebody, maybe they can get someone else to do something about it.

@cardboard is the man you after

That sounds like code talk. Is this agent cardboard easy to work with or should I wear a vest?

Agent Cardboard. Lol!

He/she seeks like a reasonable guy/gal but I would always recommend the best!

I tried to message @cardboard, the owner of TipU, but no response thus far.

The main reason this EIP was pitched was to mitigate bid bots.

Except it incentives bid-bots by making it financially necessary to make it to linear rewards.

How many top 20 witnesses are running a bid bot? If the EIP threatened their bottom line they would veto the hardfork, which is exactly why it obviously benefits them.

EiP is threatening the bottom-line for traditional bid-bots owners & co FYI.

1.) Rewards will be reduced in general.
2.) A higher percentage of rewards will be dependant on how good the post is behaving; or whether it's being downvoted (big risk due to the downvote-pool).


Everybody can think what they want about myself and Smartsteem.com, but at this point in time, my actions and decisions are completely in line for the good of Steem. Otherwise, why am I still holding hundreds and hundreds of thousands of Steem?

I want this blockchain to succeed and its currencies to become more valuable! If this reduces the rewards people generate who aren't staked in the system at first, maybe that's a good thing, don't you think? Otherwise, Steem is just a place where free-loaders can get some STEEM & SBD posting content without risk, while stakeholders are the ones taking the beating since they're locked in at the same time as other cryptocurrencies have a bull-run.

EiP will take steps in the direction of people wanting to be a hodlers of Steem and I'd say that's a very good thing for us.

Otherwise, Steem is just a place where free-loaders can get some STEEM & SBD posting content without risk...

That's what Steem originally was. That's what it is now. And bid bots make it possible for staked and non-staked users alike to increase their risk-free liquid rewards. We don't need bid bots and their owners to "protect" any investments/investors here. In fact, they are one of the largest contributors of negative value to the platform, thanks to the largest contributors: STINC and our past top-20 witnesses that approved the delegation, linear rewards curve, and 10-vote daily target protocols, which paved the way for the anti-social and cannibalistic economic behavior we see today.

delegation, linear rewards curve, and 10-vote daily target protocols

None of these actually matter much, they just shift around the methods that milkers will use but with automation, vote selling, reward-sharing schemes, etc. this was always going to turn out badly.

The only rule set remotely likely the voted content rewarding model that we have (as opposed to other completely different models like paid boosting) that has a shadow of a chance to work has significantly higher curation and cheaper/free downvotes.

None of these actually matter much, they just shift around the methods that milkers will use but with automation, vote selling, reward-sharing schemes, etc. this was always going to turn out badly.

Well, that's my point. It turned out badly because those protocol changes made it much easier and much more lucrative for the "milkers."

Delegation made it possible for non-invested users to rent stake and run vote-selling bots practically risk- and accountability-free. It also allowed entities like STINC and users like Freedom/Pumpkin to gift or rent out their previously and mostly unused influence, further diluting all other stakeholder influence. I think you're aware of how that distorts and influences markets and development in a variety of ways.

(I say "risk-free" because promising liquid payments for renting SP is a stakeholder's dream. You can keep your stake powered up and still cash out the rewards earned from it...with no actual "contributing" effort to the blockchain/content required. It's essentially a circumvention of DPoS.)

Linear rewards made it possible to precisely calculate vote values and offer them for sale at a "fair market value." It also makes "guaranteed ROI" possible - which further allows for easy automation.

The 10-vote target made that delegated voting power and vote value 4x more valuable for "promoting" content. It allows bid bots to push the poor content to the top and mostly out-compete "organic" curation.

So I do think these protocols matter...a lot. Yes, we had other issues of buying/selling votes before, but not nearly at this current scale and with this much visibility. This bold move of "bringing it out of the shadows" has been a disaster. Not only is it horrible for perception, but it doesn't accurately depict the type or the amount of backroom trading that may have taken place previously - and that we were unaware of - which was likely relatively minimal.

Instead of cleaning things up via transparency, it made things actually appear exponentially filthier.

Instead of giving more influence to less-invested users, it apparently has made those users see the game as even more rigged.

Instead of attracting, retaining, and cultivating more active users, we simply have more former users going off and creating their own chains, using other chains instead, and/or spreading the word about how awful Steem has become. And we thought users didn't like Steem before the 2017 hard forks. Even the people still here can barely stand the place.

I get what you're saying, but if we really want to fix the economic protocols/incentives, we can't continue ignoring the protocol changes that completely broke the system and what little social atmosphere we had prior to those changes.

Also - this is a perfect example of why multiple large code changes shouldn't be made in one fork. And a great example of why we should be able to evaluate new behavior and revert back to previous protocols when things break or don't work as planned.

Delegation made it possible for non-invested users to rent stake and run vote-selling bots practically risk- and accountability-free

This could already be done and was already being done with vote bots where users signed up with their posting authority. Delegating your SP to a vote bot (in exchange for pay) and giving a vote bot the ability to vote with your own account (in exchange for pay) are essentially identical. It was already happening on a moderate scale prior to delegation and what changed things (including the scale) between then and now was not so much delegation, but the passage of three years of time with more and more people recognizing value of taking maximum advantage of the incentives offered, and then doing so. That was and is inevitable given broken incentives with or without delegation.

Delegation was never at the core of the problem, though it may have contributed in a small way.

But realistically if we want to improve things now (years late I think we will both agree), we need not relitagate the mistakes of the past, however we might personally rank their severity.

What will incentivize people to power up steem from these changes?

Higher curation rewards, which means you'll earn more money with your stake by voting than before.

Since SPS is being introduced as well, and the inflation is being shifted partly from the reward-pool (author & curation) to the SPS, it might look like the curation rewards haven't changed or have become less. But they are indeed bigger and the SPS is supposed to be a net positive for the Steem ecosystem, which hopefully includes an increased STEEM valuation over time.

The shift from author to curator is numerically much larger than the shift from author+curator to SPS. Curators will see an immediate and obvious net increase, not quite double but close to it.

What exactly will there be left to power up?

If you're referring to author-rewards; you will still earn much more than on any other platform. Besides that, you can also power up Steem which you've bought or earned in another way (Steem Monsters, etc.)

Hmm, no. STEEM is failing to onboard top content creators from add revenue sharing platforms, and the EIP will only make this worse. It is failing to onboard many good fiction authors and convince them to go STEEM first with their fiction at the expense of sales on Amazon KDP, Play Books and Apple iBooks.

This I feel is the bigest mistake Steemit keeps making, forgetting it is a content platform that needs to actually compete for top content creators with the likes of Google, Amazon and Apple.

I don't think we need more onboarding. We can't even keep those who are onboarded active. Activity is needed.

Figure out how to have active users rather than mere account holders.

whether it's being downvoted (big risk due to the downvote-pool).

Downvotes will be bought and sold on the open market for a big discount.

This is all just narative. Simulate it with some old data and see how the incentives pan out. The only real incentives the EIP creates favor the bid bot economy. It could be easily fixed I feel by making down votes hit curation harder than the author.

That sort of simulation is entirely worthless because it doesn't account for changing behavior, which is the entire point of it.

Downvotes absolutely should hit the author (as well as the other curators, but not to the extent of favoring the author). The fundamental goal of both upvotes and downvotes is to pay authors in accordance with a stake-weighted consensus of value contributed. Downvoters are contributing their opinion into that consensus process that the payout to the author is too high.

That method shows us exactly what behaviour will be first to be incentified to be changed, and you can start reasoning from that. People don't change behaviour because of eloquent narrative about incentives meant to change their behaviour, they change behaviour because of actual stimuli acting on their existing behaviour.

That same method could have warned us about the disaster that was HF20. I feel it quite worrying, especially after our HF20 that anyone still could consider real-data simulations "useless". They aren't just usefull, they are essential to preventing what is perfectly predictable.

At best it is of minimal value in these situations.

Take downvotes for example. A number I saw recently was 0.008% of votes being downvotes, essentially zero. Running a simulation over that data will tell you nothing about downvotes because (for practical purposes) no one uses them. Only after the cost structure attached to downvotes changes will, possibly, the usage of downvotes change, and nothing in the historical data will tell us how it will change or how much.

HF20 is a very different type of situation. Very little of HF20 was intended to or could reasonably be expected to change behavior via incentives on a widespread scale. What it did do is block certain actions (spamming mostly) which meant that it wouldn't even be possible to simulate in that way, because many of the previous recorded actions in the history would be blocked, resulting in a chain state from that point forward deviating from the historical state. Many subsequent actions in history would then become invalid, leading to further rejections and deviation.

One must use the right sorts of tools in any situation. Historical replay as you suggest is the right tool for some problems and the wrong one for others.

How many top 20 witnesses are running a bid bot?

You've hit the nail on the head as to why the EIP may have been carefully reworked, or even didn't properly address this issue in the first place.

At the end of the day, until these practices are weeded out nothing will change! At this point will we never get a chance to find out what a reward system that de-centivizes vote selling even looks like, when so many of the top 100 witnesses make their bread and butter running vote selling services. As you say, they will just veto the hardfork if it threatens their interests.

Or maybe I'm wrong? Not sure I care at this point.

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Is there a list or way to find out which top 100 witnesses are running bid bots? I may want to rethink some of my votes..!

I don't think there is tbh meanbees... Not that I know of anyway. If you visit bot pages some are clear who run them, others less so.

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I'm behind Smartsteem.com, but I've always been very open about it (https://therealwolf.me/projects, https://smartsteem.com/about). Most people don't know this, but I actually thought quite a few times about stopping it altogether. However, the truth is that this wouldn't change anything. It would simply shift more weight to those bid-bot/promotion actors who are not caring at all about removing promotion/votes from abusers/plagiarists/spammers. In contrast, Smartsteem has already blacklisted quite a lot of people:
https://github.com/smartsteem/blacklist

And there are indeed good actors who are relying on promotion services to get seen!

Now, it's true that it could be done more and better. And I'm always trying to improve the process. However, if I'd blacklist everyone who even slightly promotes a bit too much, (not referring to real abusers) I'm not sure if Smartsteem would have any more customers. Which would have the same result as quitting all-together, since delegators & vote-sellers wouldn't earn as much in comparison to other actors who are allowing anything, so people would switch over.

But with the downvote pool, even those actors (who previously didn't care) would be somewhat forced to use a blacklisting system, which means Smartsteem could be even stricter!

Now, I obv. can't guarantee that it will work out exactly like this, but I do believe (& hope) so, which is why I'm in favour of the EiP. It will not make the life of the average bid-bot operators easier, in contrast, it will make it more difficult.

The promotion services do more harm to Steem than good at this point. The whole point of organic curation is for people to distinguish between good and bad content. If Smart Steem is just going to upvote as a service then we have no way to determine good or bad content. Anything can get visible.

We need to fix the economics so this isn't viable. As long as it is viable, someone will do it.

Just as true is the fact that with downvotes (flagging) now being free of cost to the flagger, many are downvoting just for the sake of feeding their ego (or, as it could also be said, because they are on a power trip). Just imagine, you are not capable of writing anything original, so you attack those who do and threaten to attack those who protest such action by you...and...voila, you are the big boy and oh so influential.

All I see is Steemit getting less and less posts - when I joined, after submitting my post, I would get shown a list of new posts and if I missed out on a post and went looking for it, it had disappeared because of so many new posts being made. Now I submit, check out a few of the posts and when, a couple of hours later, I post again, I see a few new posts in the list....but then I am back to those I saw hours ago - which means there is a massive drop in posters.

It will be interesting to see how things go once more than 50% of the original posters, still posting, give up on Steemit. I guess the curators can then curate each other and enjoy having themselves flagged?

Not my scene....and have already signed up elsewhere. Just trying to work out how to maintain contact with a few friends I value, who are still here.

For every man that earns a dollar without working there is a man that did work that didnt get paid his dollar.

Why not develop an app or script to reject all witnesses who endorse vote selling?

I'm not involved with any bid bot, but I don't think it really matters if others are. I'm more interested in the overall economics and how it functions at a system-wide level than in who happens to be doing what.

This person or that person running a bid bot literally doesn't matter. If the economics favor it, that creates a valuable niche. If one person doesn't fill that niche, someone else surely will.

If the economics favor it, that creates a valuable niche. If one person doesn't fill that niche, someone else surely will.

The vote selling economy on steem is not a valuable niche... it's a bleed of value. That bleed happens both in the talent that leaves this platform due to the fact that quality isn't rewarded manually, and steem Blockchains reputation in the wider world. I've noticed this same attitude among a lot of devs and some of the witnesses... + dapp owners etc. It's blinkered to assume that steem Blockchain primary usecase and best UC is not content. Therefore quality content should be nurtured by those with stake to create a virtuous cycle (eg when people see professional level content get curie awards they strive to improve to try and get those awards).

Bidbots drive away decent content creators. Simple fact. Curie can only encourage them up to a point... beyond that point they leave. I know this because I've been a curie curator for over a year... I've seen it again and again. Those people who claim bidbots aren't the problem obviously haven't seen the multitude of posts I have where talented people anounce they're leaving because they've discovered that votes are bought on here. I've seen tones of them while searching for curie.

To put it super simple, the vote buying system on steem sacrifices legitimate long term growth of the price of steem for short term gains for a few people.

If publishing houses invested in this space (to source or promote authors) it would lead to huge $ value. If legitimate film interests invested in this space (to promote independent film festivals or up & coming directors etc) it would lead to huge $ value. If steem somehow leveraged streaming entertainment (similar to YouTube) it would lead to huge $ value. I only have one instance of proof that vote buying is why they run a mile and that is in the publishing industry... I talked about that in my other comment in this thread.

I'll tell you what will lead to the continued devaluing of all our investments. Allowing the best content creators to be continually devalued and driven away by the fact that people with a tone of SP just want to sit back and watch money come in with little to no work. That's what vote selling is all about.

If one person doesn't fill that niche, someone else surely will.

Yeah sure, if they're allowed to. Stinc and a handful of the most stake wealthy on steem could use their SP (downvotes) to stop bidbots if they chose to. But half of those stake wealthy people I speak off are involved or run bidbots so we're kind of fucked. Also their hefty stake weighted witness votes could remove the witnesses who perpetuate vote selling from the top 100 and send a message, but they don't because half of those stake wealthy people I speak off are involved or run bidbots.

You say it doesn't matter @smooth, you're wrong. But this comment isn't really aimed at you per say, these are thoughts that have been gestating in my mind the past 24 hours watching the comments on this thread.

This is the last I'll say on the subject.

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The vote selling economy on steem is not a valuable niche

I'm quite sure you misunderstood my intent here. I meant valuable in the sense that people can make money doing it. I didn't mean valuable in the sense of valuable to Steem overall.

Yeah sure, if they're allowed to

You should better understand what the permissionless property of blockchains means. No one needs to be 'allowed' to do anything, they can just do it. The only way in which it can be stopped is by changing to system rules and incentives to make it a smaller or non-existent niche.

Fair enough dude. I don't say these things to get some drama tokens 😉

But these issues I highlight are very real and they need addressing fully now! Especially with Facebook trying to enter crypto and Eos coming with voice.

I want to see everyone's investment in steem bring huge returns! Not just a few people getting moderate returns, as steem is driven out of the space and loses that first mover advantage.

I've spent nearly 2 years putting a huge amount of time in never powered down. I'm not the only person to put such time and effort in, I'm sure you have.

I don't need to better understand it, I understand it very well!

You should better understand what the permissionless property of blockchains means. No one needs to be 'allowed' to do anything, they can just do it.

I addressed this above when I said stinc and high stake people could stop vote buying by excersising their right to be allowed to downvote both the people who run these 'so called' services, and the people who use them! That would be them exercising power in a permissionless environment. It would exercise a measure of control, and considering stinc have had massive stake lying around for 2 years doing nothing it boggles my mind why they haven't at least attempted to stop something that is so obviously of detriment to both the platform and the price of the steem. Obvs that would start a whole new discussion about if we're now centralized... but I feel that the stake distribution on steem (and the ninja mining by more than just stinc) means that ship has sailed.

The only way in which it can be stopped is by changing to system rules and incentives to make it a smaller or non-existent niche.

This is true to an extent, but what I said about responsible use of downvote to stop negative 'niches' from proliferating is valid.

The network effect is what can truly make steem a wold class platform. An ever expanding network of people sharing content, and the advertising that would bring and other investment streams is what can catapult steem to overtake Facebook. This isn't rocket science. It also follows that as steem's value proposition is to actually pay people for their content, we need to fulfill that value proposition to succeed.

I know that there are issues to do with balance between stake flowing out and stake being converted into SP, also the relative lack of trading of steem as a token.

But, as I stated in a comment above, if the issue of steem being a fundamentally unappealing place for content creators doesn't change soon, we will lose any first mover advantage to facebook coin or voice.

I don't disagree that the best way to change all of this is to make the system not reward vote selling/delegating behavior... and better reward manual curation or delegating to a guild that does the work for you, I'm just unsure this HF21 will achieve that, and if it doesn't... well the clock is ticking.

Steemit always intended their stake to be non-voting, in fact they implemented a feature into the blockchain code to enforce that. For various reasons the feature was never used, but the tradition of not voting with their stake remains. That tradition exists for a reason, at least historically. With the dominant stake they once had, if they did vote, no one else would have any meaningful say at all in anything. So for that reason, and because the stake was mined for the purpose of funding the company, compensating their founders, and giving away to new users, they have never voted (apart from a few specific exceptions, mostly emergencies).

Even despite that tradition, they do delegate a large amount of stake to steemcleaners and some other downvoting efforts. It simply numerically isn't enough. I haven't done an exact calculation but my intuition is that bidbots alone have more stake than Steemit (recall that Steemit has sold a lot and continues to sell a lot; the meme about Steemit having an absurdly dominant stake like 80% as they once did is complete wrong), and bidbots are not the only problem.

Trying to solve this the way you suggest would not work and has not worked. Working against the underlying incentives by trying to tell people what you think they should do with their stake despite incentives encouraging them to do something else is inefficient to the point of ineffective, even if you are ultimately right in a way. It is like trying to push a car uphill several miles to get to a repair shop but collapsing from physical exhaustion before you get there, when you could instead roll it downhill to another shop at the bottom of the hill.

I share some of your lack of certainty about whether HF21/EIP will produce the intended and desired results but I think they are worth a try. We should have tried making such improvements long ago, but since we have not, there is no time like the present.

I do and do not agree with you.

I have spent most of my time at Steemit without buying any votes. I remember what a rush it would be to get a vote from curators who had read my story and liked it.

But then...they seemed to die out.

Writing the same quality posts as before, but getting just a few no_value -or small_value votes, without comments from readers anymore, it made me lose interest in posting.

Only then did I learn about SmartMarket. So we now talk about how they make us authors big money. Where? How?

If I send SmartMarket Steem10 for a post, I get back (usually, but not always) my Steem10 plus a ROI of between 5% to 10% (in other words, 0.50c to Steem1. ) One Steem has been roughly $0.30 to 0.40....which means, uhm...how many must I buy, at what cost to me, for me to earn enough to buy one cup of coffee per week?

And I am breaking the bank? !!!

I have not withdrawn even one SP for taking to buy a coffee or buy myself food. But because I treat the buying of votes as a part of doing business on Steemit, I am destroying Steemit?

At least, from me, if your tastes coincide with mine, you can read some stories, poems and some controversial political opinions to stir your blood.

What exactly is it you Flaggers and curators provide? I hardly ever see any of you, so I know you do not support those who write original material - unless it is about Crypto.

I remember what a rush it would be to get a vote from curators who had read my story and liked it. But then...they seemed to die out.

I sympathize, I really do. I also never get curie votes anymore... but I can tell you why they dry up after a while as I'm a curator. Below is the curation guidelines from the curie official discord, if a curator gets too many rejections from the reviewers they get kicked out, so you are incentivized as a curator to follow those guidelines. @curie focus on new authors with exceptional content because they don't have (delegated) enough SP to support great writers in perpetuity!

Guidelines - June 3
1) Verified and engaged authors only who have been consistent without much success of late. Focus is on new authors who have made few good posts, but haven't been discovered yet. Posts from the high REP authors have to be exceptional.
2) Posts must be more than 30 minutes old, but less than 72 hours old, with maximum $2 pending payout.
3) Only original content. Articles, art, poetry, videos, recipes, etc. that appear first on Steemit. (I.e. no reposts of older work) Please check for plagiarism and reposting before submitting. Content must be exceptional and unique.
4) No Steemit-related, religious or political posts.
5) English posts only.

But because I treat the buying of votes as a part of doing business on Steemit, I am destroying Steemit?

No I'm not attacking people for working within a broken system, I'm saying that if the system can be made to not reward that behavior and whales can be forced to actually curate, or delegate to curation guilds so that they can do the work for them, people like you and me, will have much better chance to be rewarded for high quality writing.

At least, from me, if your tastes coincide with mine, you can read some stories, poems

Right back at ya. I've been writing poetry and fiction on steem for just shy of 2 years, I'm not sure I've ever had a comment from on any of my content from you. There is a problem with not enough content consumers on steem, if we had the readership of medium.com it might be different, but as it is now every author on steem has to be sooooo active reading others and networking to even get a sniff at engagement and reasonable payouts. This is part of why you might not get much engagement, it is a networking game right now.

What exactly is it you Flaggers and curators provide? I hardly ever see any of you, so I know you do not support those who write original material.

I do and do not agree with this lol. I've never flagged in my life, so far as what curators do.... well look at that list of stipulations above and you'll see that every one of your curie rewards when you were newer to the platform had someone behind it doing a full plagerism check, going through a check list of other criteria like working back through the links on steem homepage to make sure that you can be verified as who you say you are by checking if you have an intro post etc. Using google to check sections of the text to see if it's old material reposted from a website. There is a fck tone of work goes on behind the scenes and the curation guilds are pretty much the only entities ensuring that anyone has those great moments when something of high quality they've created (art, video, writing) gets a decent amount of valuable votes.

Everything I'm saying in the comments in this thread is geared toward trying to get across to any high-ups reading that the vote selling needs to stop, not to attack people like you who have legitimately started buying votes out of sheer frustration, but in the hopes that if it gets sorted the massive amounts of SP delegated to bidbots will end up being used to reward people manually based on the quality of what they are producing.

P.s. I also haven't taken anything out of the steem platform that I haven't put back later. A little out which I traded with and increased my BTC stores but I put more back in than I originally took out. I honestly understand why you're frustrated with the penny payouts on your posts.

so I know you do not support those who write original material - unless it is about Crypto.

Go look at my blog to see how many, and who I comment on and engage with. I do agree that the crypto, and steem posts, get a lot more notice which is stupid as no one outside of steem is interested in that stuff. It boggles my mind that people don't see how insular it all is and how damaging this is for attracting mainstream people to our platform.

I apologise - many times that I used the word 'you', it was because I was/am aware that many others who are attacking authors will be reading, so I was writing for a wider audience. My error was in not specifically saying so.

I checked to see why your name does not ring a bell. You are right, I have never, that I recall, read anything of yours.

First of all, I mostly read/write SF&F stories - but not in poetry. Poetry has more of an emotional and spiritual side to it.

I orginally came to steemit because I had spent nearly 18 years writing my novel (it is about 13 books, of over 700 pages each). I lost my money and that is how I ended up writing, so as to have somethingt o do. It started that way, but then I fell in love with my characters. Writing all day and night, developed me to the point where I was having lucid dreams about them - and those adventures I had shared with them, became part of their story.

I had no way to publish and there is a limited market for my kind of writing, so I was excited when I learnt about the blockchain and saw it as a way of keeping my books available even after I die.

Two years of publishing every day and I am only close to the end of posting of Book 2.

I also, for a long time, devoted time every day for helping new posters. This was where I saw the bad effects of flagging. For instance, Bernie flagged a Nigerian who wrote an article to help Africans feed themselves by using a tiny piece of land. He knocked the guy to zero Rep and try as I did to help, I was obviously too weak. Bernie said he flagged because he felt like it and I in turn was threatened, as does the trash guy, who also threatens he will attack anyone siding with the person he trashed. I checked and he has a delagation given to him of SP25,000. Coincidence? But he actually trashed someone who spoke out against Bernie....

The number of nasty people on Steemit is far greater than most know, I do not know why I fight back but nobody, to this date, has flagged me to death, but it does not make me more tolerant of them. It just makes me feel I am wasting my time here.

Since I no longer believe I will earn anything to top up my state pension, I do not really care about the upvotes. For instance, today I posted a very short story. I got about 40 upvotes. Only one of them means anything to me, as that person read and made a comment. The rest just have stuck me on an upvote bot...with even some of them never appearing on steemit anymore.

I would prefer to be on a platfrom where they are open about it being a cut throat battle of wits, than this pretence of caring about new or poor posters, when most use them as soft targets to vent their evil moods on them, knowing they cannot fight back.

As from the date of rewards changing to 50 / 50 I will ensure nobody can reward me at all, so no bogus curator can earn anything, while I still get my story posted and preserved for a while.

Thanks for answering me and I wish you the best on Steemit.

I apologise - many times that I used the word 'you', it was because I was/am aware that many others who are attacking authors will be reading, so I was writing for a wider audience.

No worries. I hear everything you're saying and we actually have similar interests/backgrounds. I'm a published (and by that I mean outside steem lol) poet and studied creative writing at university. I also write Sci-Fi and fantasy, but I don't put much fiction up on steem anymore as the audience is not here for it. As you said, it is more important for a writer that people are actually reading what you're writing and even when the bots aren't of the 'bid' variety on here, often a lot of the votes are auto votes. Having said that I'm grateful for the auto votes that fall on my account. I mainly write travel articles or opinion pieces on here as I'm catering to the audience to the best of my ability. I still can't bring myself to join the slew of people who post nothing but articles about steem. It just seems insane to me. I write one article per month about a steem orientated subject max lol. I still put - what I think is - some very decent poetry up sometimes, but most of it gets saved for submitting to online journals that pay or literary anthologies that gain exposure and build a writers CV.

The number of nasty people on Steemit is far greater than most know, I do not know why I fight back but nobody, to this date, has flagged me to death, but it does not make me more tolerant of them.

I've seen this too and it is truly depressing. I've seen someone I knows account destroyed for saying the wrong thing.

Anyway, sry if I got defensive in my response before. I completely understand you were talking more generally rather than specifically at me ;-)

Take care Arthur. I'll visit your blog sometime soon and check out that good Sci-Fi you're writing :)

If I send SmartMarket Steem10 for a post, I get back (usually, but not always) my Steem10 plus a ROI of between 5% to 10% (in other words, 0.50c to Steem1. )

So you're essentially guaranteed a 5-10% ROI on every post you make? Do you not see this as a problem? Is this not virtually risk-free for you?

I understand that curators (and users in general) have mostly disappeared - and that's a problem with incentives, interface usability, marketing (the lack thereof), and the general downward direction of STEEM prices over the past year and a half. But what you're telling me is that any user can sign up, create a post, and then buy their way to 5-10% profits on an exploitation of platform incentives and rewards.

This is precisely why the system is failing us.

But because I treat the buying of votes as a part of doing business on Steemit, I am destroying Steemit?

I'm not sure that posting content and buying votes for it is "doing business." And I don't think it's you or people like you that are "destroying Steemit." It's the package of protocols that were pushed and implemented in 2017 that are the problem - and the people who created and approved them. The protocols must be changed in order to correct the mistakes and restore balance to the system. That's not an attack on any individual or group of users. It's just the reality that we're in. I think too many people are trying to assign blame to regular users when their behavior today was just a natural and predicted consequence of adopting bad protocols.

For my first year here I was earning more than 0.50c perpost...and I did not risk my own SP (yes, a few times I did lose when buying, so ROI is not guaranteed). My writing has not changed to any great extent, but if I do not buy any votes, I rarely make even 10 to 15cents. I am not willing to spend hours on preparing a post for 10c and since the whales are buying votes, then so will I - until it is stopped...and then I will block ALL payments to me, so that nobody else benefits.

That is my decision, so what happens, I have nothing to worry about - except that it means I will not be able to help a few really needy posters from poor countries. I accept it as a cost of the way steemit has gone....

The idea behind the curve is mostly to bring all profitable voting behavior into the light to be scrutinized by everyone with their free downvotes.

The curve by itself is not expected to bring about honest voting practices alone. I can't see a very strong level of superlinear not favoring bid bots, even if we weren't at all concerned about voting equality, so I'm not sure why it should be considered.

The idea is to have enough free downvotes at any given time to push contentious content at least down to the point where they'll be making more curating honestly instead (buffed to 50%).

Convergent linear is meant to just prevent the ability to hide vote farming in micro spam comments relatively undetected.

I agree with you that 16 Steem is arbitrary and probably too low. Why not 60 Steem? Why not 30 Steem? How was 16 Steem arrived at?

If the price of Steem keeps going down then are we going to re-adjust?

This doesn't really need to adjust to the price of Steem because the idea is to limit the number of content elements which can be profitably rewarded by milkers (to in turn limit the amount of effort required by altruistic volunteer abuse fighters). That's a function of the size of the reward pool which is a set amount of STEEM. The price doesn't change that.

To put rough numbers on this the reward pool is about 50k STEEM per day. If the cutoff is 16 STEEM that means there can't be more than 3000 content items which are milking candidates (and probably less since rewards will be somewhat concentrated, not spread out evenly on 3000 comments). That's a number (or really a range) that is likely feasible for abuse fighters to keep on top of. 300k would not be.

Please define "milkers" because this is a new category. Couldn't any participant be accused of "milking" with such a broad word and unclear definition? I think first people need to define all these phrases and put it in public so it is known what exactly the abuse fighters are fighting against.

Basically people who use the system to generate interest on their stake rather than to reward value contributions. That can take various forms, and most involve some degree of self-voting or vote-selling, but the exact scheme isn't that significant.

What is relevant here is to simply limit the number of content items that can potentially generate a high-efficiency return in this manner. If such returns can be broken up in too many pieces (without losing value to some form of superlinear curve), then downvoting that relies on mostly altruistic volunteer effort will be overwhelmed.

But then what happens to the content itself? I see this as reactionary and a bandaid solution which does not improve content or increase retention. Do you not notice less people are generating content now?

It's because content producers are moving to other competing platforms.

What happens to the content is that hopefully some of it gets rewarded instead of having much of the reward pool milked out by stakeholders paying themselves, effectively draining rewards away from all content.

Whatever else is going on with other platforms is interesting and worth paying attention to, but doesn't really change much about the mechanisms that do or don't work on Steem. We can't simply wish for value adding content to be rewarded, we need a mechanism that actually does that, which is what this is attempting to do.

It isn't guaranteed to work it is the most credible effort to date in my opinion.

Maybe as a first SPS proposal we should seek to hire an economist to fix the Steem economy. It could cost something to hire a full time economist but could be worth it.

But this “2e12” algorithm will have practically zero effect on bid bots

To address this specific point, the convergent linear curve has literally nothing to do with bid bots. Its intent is to address profitable low level reward milking using enormous numbers of comments spread widely where they are hard to find. This is much harder to deal with using downvotes, since even with the free downvotes in the proposal, downvoting is still unrewarded so relies on altruism and voluntary effort. Bidbots are pretty much the opposite, as their function is to push posts to the higher end of the payout distribution.

I think $6 (if that is indeed the right number, I've seen conflicting claims) is probably more than enough for this.

Are far as I understand it and seen it pitched, the curve has nothing to do with bid bots. The curve is to prevent discourage large stake holders from splitting their stake to smaller accounts and voting their own spam.

Under this curve they would penalized for smaller votes that are easier to stay under the radar with. Thus forcing them to use larger votes to optimize rewards. The discounted downvotes included would be able to put further pressure on this behavior.

There was no numbers until this post to know why is considered a smaller amount to understand what it means in reality.

That’s how I understood the curve presented up to now.

The "dividing account abuse" explanation has never really made much sense to me. A large stakeholder who is willing to go to such lengths to obtain something close to 100% of upvote will most likely just find another avenue if that particular one closes. Circular voting or vote selling (off-chain if necessary) will still be possible.

However the impact on real small accounts, new accounts, and engagement through comments will be substantial. I would argue that the pros of the CLRC change do not match up to the cons and it is a part of the EIP that could be dropped, without dramatically altering the main pillars of the proposed change.

Circular vs. self-voting isn't the point at all. The point is solely that everything is visible so it can be downvoted if the content itself (or at least the story surrounding it) doesn't justify the reward. Who makes the votes using which account or which third party voting service literally doesn't matter here.

The point is solely that everything is visible so it can be downvoted

At which point the abuser will stop doing it, most likely. Which is good. And then they will do something else to obtain a similar level of rewards (circular voting / vote-selling are just examples of such methods that are still likely to be employable under HF21).

As such I think that the benefit brought by the CLRC change is very small. The cons of that part of the EIP outweigh the pros.

Vote selling and circular voting themselves aren't bad and can't be stopped in any case. So we posit that as a given. Vote selling, etc. that results in payouts divorced from content value is the problem, and can be countered with downvotes as long as it is highly visible which is why some form of superlinear is needed (I'm not arguing for this specific curve or parameters; at this point I'm not even sure I correctly understand what they are).

The benefits of the CLRC just seem to me to be small compared to the costs.

Under the above example the abuser continues to extract the same value from the system, just through a different method. There is no increase in altruism, nor in manual voting, nor any redistribution of value from the abuser to content creators. Maybe it looks slightly better on the surface but the underlying economics are unchanged.

The costs on the other hand seem high. Reductions in payouts for smaller earners which is likely to include new accounts. Reductions in payouts on comments, harming engagement and reducing Steem's effectiveness as a social network. Reductions in the power of minnows and dolphins to reward content without significant levels of consensus and the influence of whales.

Given the blockchain data is transparent some form of automated data analytics could be used to find such abusers. Combined with automated free downvotes this could go a long way to resolving the issue without all the above costs.

Under the above example the abuser continues to extract the same value from the system, just through a different method

Not sure which example you are talking about but as long as it is highly visible then we need to take into account the effect of downvotes (also BTW the deterrent effect of downvotes even if there aren't actual downvotes in one particular case). Some superlinear curve (not necessarily this exact one) has the effect of ensuring that anything that isn't highly visible can't get full value, so it eliminates the possible loophole here.

Given the blockchain data is transparent some form of automated data analytics could be used to find such abusers

Sounds very difficult, complicated, and to the extent it requires ongoing effort, relying largely on altruism and volunteer work, as all anti-abuse efforts do.

The objective benefits of 100% preventing atomized milking with one fairly simple measure are pretty clear to me, but I might not agree that the parameters are set ideally in the proposed fork.

EDIT:

BTW I'm not sold on this:

Reductions in payouts for smaller earners which is likely to include new accounts. Reductions in payouts on comments, harming engagement and reducing Steem's effectiveness as a social network

Most social networks pay out literally nothing. If there are small payouts on new accounts, comments, etc., and there are still likely to be even with the new curve, just as there were some even under the old and far more extreme n^2 curve, I might argue that it has roughly the same effect (the appeal being to earning something from you interaction instead of nothing) as slightly larger payouts. We sort of ran the experiment on whether flattening the curve would dramatically increase retention and engagement and found the result mostly negative (no dramatic improvement).

That's ignoring that EIP is very much intended to offset the reduction by increasing these payouts due to less milking (even though it may increase other payouts by more).

I honestly doubt that the specific amount of small payouts either way has a meaningful effect on engagement (and if it does it is probably fake engagement people are manufacturing for the purpose of generating payouts), though I certainly can understand that people getting these payouts would prefer more rather than less, were all else equal. All else isn't equal though, there are other considerations here.

Are far as I understand it and seen it pitched, the curve has nothing to do with bid bots.

I'm just going by what I've read on @steemitblog posts and their comment sections, in the posts and comment sections of other users, and in off-chain chats.

The curve is to prevent discourage large stake holders from splitting their stake to smaller accounts and voting their own spam.

Yeah...it would have been great if this same reasoning wasn't summarily dismissed by Ned/STINC back in 2017 when they rammed linear rewards down our throats without ever addressing why there was a wholesale change of protocol rationale and coherence.

Oh, wait...Ned did explain it a few times by saying previous protocols were "evil." So there's that, I guess.

Anyway...for the record: I don't care that a lot of people favor these changes because they think it will impact bid bots. I am in favor of more-than-linear and 50/50 rewards because it just makes sense economically and because of the ability to mitigate "abuse."

I was in favor of these protocols 2.5 years ago when I wrote about them. Hopefully, we'll get back to some of the rest of those ideas that were ignored back then and actually improve things around here. I doubt anything meaningful will happen though. It seems that Steem may be headed for obsolescence due to a plethora of "leadership" mistakes and non-existent marketing. If we're lucky though, maybe this place could be fun again in the distant future.

The reason why linear was introduced is the exact same reason why the Whale Experiment ran. When hf 17 came out not long after Dan left the most demanded change by the community, linear, was missing. This is what prompted the Whale Experiment. The demand for linear was directly tied to the chasm that exponential caused in voting power. Yes it was a naive overcorrection and it should have been retooled long ago, but here we are, let's learn from the past (that the community demands should be more thoroughly examined) and move forward.

Onwards and upwards.

it would have been great if this same reasoning wasn't summarily dismissed by Ned/STINC back in 2017

Lots of things would be great in the past. Can we deal with the present now?

I am in favor of more-than-linear and 50/50 rewards because it just makes sense economically

Agreed.

well as i was thinking with my primary school math (i ignored it after) acc that does not get to 6.5$ will be:


and well that is a huge amount of accounts, strange but it is.
but we all know that big acc will get to the rescue and vote for all those small acc...

Ha! Citations? Evidence? Public forums?! Polling? Logs? What are those?!

The HF21 Testnet EIP portion needs some work. In short what exactly do we gain here? Is it going to somehow increase the price of the Steem token? Is it going to bring more activity not merely more new accounts? What is going to be done to reward actual activity?

The reward curve seems not good for rewarding activity or how else do we explain why activity is much lower? What would create more economic activity? SMTs? How does this EIP help?

I think keeping the interest for long term holding is essential. The more power up incentives there are the more the price of Steem can go up. No one has given much thought into the forever falling price of Steem?

In short what exactly do we gain here?

Decreasing author's reward.