The Futurist Blog: Automation 101- Tasks that probably cannot be mostly automated by 2030
Automation 101: Tasks that probably cannot be mostly automated by 2030
Previous blog: Automation 101 part one: What can be automated and what cannot be?Automation 101 part one: What can be automated and what cannot be?
In my previous blog about automation I discussed the hardest tasks that we have already automated. Next question was what cannot be automated by 2030?
After couple of days brainstorming, I come with a list of work that cannot be automated by 2030 and few reasons:
Sophisticated programming:
By 2030, most of the repetitive tasks and some of the cognitive tasks will be automated. But even those tasks will require sophisticated codes that will still require programmers.Voting on controversial issues:
We have biased positions on all political issues. We don't want robots to make decisions on issues that can go against us at least by robotic votes.Emotional tasks:
Emotional support or consultation that requires human voice, touch and body languages will still require significant computational power and material progress by 2030.Scientific discoveries:
It requires years of training, testing and practice to build a scientific intuition to make breakthrough discoveries in Science. It will still be hard to build such intuitions in robots by 2030.Integration of complex systems:
System On Chip design, a processor design, even a powerful robot or automated system require an integration trial, design and validation with years of human experience.Major forms of arts:
Art is in eyes of beholders. Therefore, robot or AI will create art by analyzing human hedonism. But still human creativity in art and performance will have demand to us.Popular team sports and games:
It will be hard to make a soccer team that can beat Barcelona or a team that can beat Cleveland Cavaliers. Even the complex skill of Lionel Messi or LeBron James is hard to replicate. However, there is a ongoing goal to beat world best soccer team with a robotic team by 2050.Cooking, design and creative tasks similar to arts:
Taste depends on human eaters. Therefore, there will be demand for creative chefs and recipes. Same goes for other designs that requires human type deep level subjective understanding.
What do you think the work or tasks that cannot be automated (major part of that task or work) by 2030?
I wish cooking will be automated. I saw works on a robotic arms which will be installed in kitchen and will do cutting, preparation and cooking. The movements are taken from motion tracking real chef. The recipes will also be from best chefs in the world. I think you can already preorder this machine. This is something i would buy :)
Maybe 3D printing of food is more useful?better? I see working products. But when AI will be involved in this - human creative cooking versus AI cooking will be such as human go player versus AI...
3d printing would be easier and cheaper to implement but than you need to pastes or powders as raw material and trust producers that they will put everything what we need into it. Since every day there is new and often conflicting food "science" discovery, i dont believe they are ready to do that. I prefere real food as long as i can find it in the shops. Than robotic arms to prepare it. I will watch 3d printed food from distance when they start testing on humans :)
Yes, common even recipe based cooking will be automated. However, creative cooking (recipe) and taste creation will be still in human's endeavor. However, once machines can analyze human taste, then creative recipe (e.g, new taste) will be no longer be in human's domain.
This is fantastic! I would add permaculture design and development.
Great thought experiment.
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