This is Terrifying: Abundance Year Episode 1944 (audio noxsoma.substack.com)
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Wednesday 22, April 2026
Abundance Year Episode 1944
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This is Terrifying
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This is Terrifying
Why the World Always Ends in October: Apocalyptic Timing, Toilet Paper, and the COVID Connection.
From ancient Jewish feast days to the Wuhan Military Games, autumn has a strange grip on humanity's collective fear of the end.
October is, statistically speaking, the most popular month for the apocalypse that never comes. The Great Disappointment fell on October 22, 1844. Orson Welles' Martians invaded on October 30, 1938. Harold Camping's final doomsday landed on October 21, 2011. Even the COVID-19 pandemic—a very real global crisis—began its shadowy emergence in October 2019, complete with military exercises simulating the exact outbreak that followed, a quarantined cruise ship, and a run on toilet paper that revealed more about human psychology than any virus ever could.
Coincidence? Or is there something baked into the autumn calendar that makes us reach for both prayer beads and paper goods?
The Theology of Autumn: Why Prophecy Points to October.
The clustering of apocalyptic predictions around September and October is no accident. It stems directly from how certain Christian traditions interpret the Jewish fall holidays—what Messianic Jewish teacher Jonathan Cahn calls the "end feasts" that "speak about the closing of everything, the closing of the age".
Here's the theological logic, and it's surprisingly straightforward.
The Feast of Trumpets (Rosh Hashanah) — This holiday, which falls in September or October, involves the blowing of the shofar (ram's horn). In Christian prophecy interpretation, this trumpet blast represents the "last trumpet" that will herald the rapture. As one rabbi explains, the trumpet served two purposes in ancient Israel: "to announce an assembly of the people" and "to sound an alarm and call the troops together to combat an enemy attack". Either way, it's a wake-up call.
Yom Kippur (Day of Atonement) — Falling ten days after Rosh Hashanah, this is the holiest day on the Jewish calendar. In prophetic interpretation, it represents the final judgment. Jonathan Cahn describes it as "the day when sins are dealt with, judged or removed"—the ultimate reckoning.
Sukkot (Feast of Tabernacles) — Starting just five days after Yom Kippur, this week-long festival commemorates God's provision during the Israelites' wilderness wandering. Prophetically, it represents the Millennial Kingdom—the 1,000-year reign of peace after the apocalypse. As Cahn puts it, "Tabernacles is the God who tabernacles with us".
The pattern is simple: Trumpets signals the warning, Yom Kippur brings the judgment, and Sukkot delivers the restoration. And because these feasts occur at the "close of the sacred year," they naturally point to the "closing of the age".
This is why the Millerites chose October 22, 1844. It's why Harold Camping, after his May 21, 2011 prediction failed, pointed to October 21 as the final end. And it's why, in 2025, a viral "RaptureTok" prophecy pointed to September 23—which was Rosh Hashanah.
The theology is internally consistent, even if the math keeps failing.
The October Surprise: COVID-19's Quiet Emergence.
But prophecy isn't the only reason October haunts us. The COVID-19 pandemic—a genuine global catastrophe, not a failed prediction—also has its eerie roots in October 2019. And the timeline raises questions that, depending on your disposition, might feel like conspiracy fodder or simply strange coincidence.
The 7th Military World Games — From October 18 to 27, 2019, the city of Wuhan, China, hosted the 7th Military World Games, bringing together nearly 10,000 athletes from over 100 countries. This was the largest international event Wuhan had ever hosted.
Here's where it gets strange: On the exact same day the Games began—October 18, 2019—an event called "Event 201" was held in New York City. It was a pandemic simulation organized by the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, and the World Economic Forum. The scenario? A novel coronavirus respiratory pandemic that spreads from country to country.
The U.S. delegation to the Wuhan Games was unusually large—369 members, the largest in American military history at the Games. And their performance was, to put it mildly, unimpressive: Team USA returned with zero gold medals, a bizarre outcome for the world's dominant military power. More troubling, five American athletes fell ill during the Games and were evacuated on a U.S. military aircraft. China's Foreign Ministry has repeatedly requested health information about those five athletes; Washington has remained silent.
Within two months of the Games' conclusion, Wuhan was the epicenter of a novel coronavirus outbreak. The first official index case was dated December 8, 2019.
Retrospective Evidence of Earlier Circulation — But the official timeline may be incomplete. A 2022 review published in the Annals of Global Health (NIH) found evidence suggesting SARS-CoV-2 was circulating in northern Italy as early as September/October 2019—"at least one month before the virus was detected in France," where retrospective testing found a positive sample from December 27, 2019.
The Italian findings are particularly striking: researchers identified 59 positive antibody tests in residents of Lombardy, with the earliest positive results dating back to September 2019.
The NIH review concludes conservatively that "Covid-19 cases were already present by the end of December 2019 and possibly somewhat earlier," and that "the Covid-19 epidemic began at least as early as the last quarter of 2019".
The circumstantial evidence points to October 2019 as the critical window—whether through the Military World Games as a superspreading event, or through earlier undetected circulation in Europe.
The Diamond Princess: A Floating October Nightmare.
Then there's the cruise ship—because no modern apocalypse story is complete without one.
The Diamond Princess, carrying 2,670 passengers and 1,100 crew, set sail on what was supposed to be a routine voyage. In early February 2020, Japanese authorities quarantined the ship in Yokohama after a passenger tested positive for the novel coronavirus. Eventually, over 700 people aboard would test positive—one of the largest early clusters outside China.
But here's the October connection: while the quarantine made headlines in February, the timeline of infection likely traces back to the autumn. The Diamond Princess's voyage patterns and the incubation period mean the seeds of that outbreak were sown in the same October-November 2019 window when the virus was silently spreading.
Among those aboard were 538 Filipino nationals and 223 Australians. The Philippine Embassy in Tokyo had to scramble to monitor its citizens. The Australian government confirmed cases among its citizens on board. The ship became a floating symbol of how interconnected—and how vulnerable—the modern world had become.
And it all traces back to the autumn of 2019.
The Toilet Paper Phenomenon: Apocalypse on Aisle Four.
No discussion of apocalyptic behavior would be complete without the great toilet paper panic of 2020. And the psychology behind it tells us something profound about why October matters.
When COVID-19 began spreading globally, supermarket shelves emptied—not of masks or hand sanitizer (though those went too), but of toilet paper. Australia, Japan, Hong Kong, the United States, and the United Kingdom all saw "toilet paper apocalypse" headlines.
Why toilet paper? The answer reveals the same psychological patterns that drive religious end-times predictions.
The Visual Vacuum Effect — When a 50-pack of toilet paper disappears from a shelf, it leaves a massive empty space. Fifty cans of beans? Less noticeable. The sheer volume of toilet paper packaging makes shortages visually dramatic, triggering panic.
FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) — As one Australian psychology professor explained, when people see others hoarding something, "they feel there must be a good reason." The "FOMO syndrome" kicks in, and rational calculation goes out the window.
The Need for Control — This is the crucial insight, and it connects directly to apocalyptic thinking. As a Taiwanese psychology professor put it, when humans face disaster, they go through three stages: "What does this have to do with me? What can I do? And finally, right and wrong." The problem is that when people realize they can do nothing substantive, they experience helplessness—"a very uncomfortable feeling." To escape that helplessness, "humans would rather do something wrong than do nothing at all".
Toilet paper hoarding is irrational. Everyone knows this. But it's actionable irrationality. It gives people something to do when faced with an invisible, uncontrollable threat.
This is exactly the same psychology that drives end-times date-setting. When the world feels chaotic and prophecy teachers offer a specific date, followers get to do something—sell their houses, quit their jobs, buy billboards. The action matters more than the outcome.
The Pattern: Why Autumn Works as an Apocalyptic Trigger.
So why does October keep showing up, whether in failed prophecies or real pandemics?
The Theological Anchor — For believers, the fall feasts provide a God-given timetable. The fact that the feasts are biblical—commanded in Leviticus 23—gives them authority that arbitrary dates lack. If God himself set these appointments, then it's not presumption to watch them; it's obedience.
The Seasonal Psychology — Autumn is transition. Summer's abundance gives way to winter's scarcity. The days shorten. The world literally darkens. In agrarian societies, harvest represents both fulfillment and ending—the last gathering before the fallow season. This natural rhythm primes us for apocalyptic thinking.
The Practical Calendar — Before modern climate control, holding massive outdoor revival meetings and end-times gatherings was easier in mild autumn weather than in winter's cold or summer's heat. October became a natural scheduling choice for prophecy conferences and camp meetings, which then reinforced October as "apocalypse season."
The "Last Chance" Effect — October is the final quarter of the year. If you believe the world will end in a given year, October represents the last plausible window before winter makes the narrative awkward. Harold Camping's move from May to October 2011 illustrates this—when the spring date failed, October became the final "or else."
The Ramifications: Who Pays When the World Doesn't End?
The COVID-19 pandemic was real, not a failed prediction. But the October 2019 origins remain contested. China's government has not released comprehensive health data from the Military World Games period. The U.S. has not explained the five evacuated athletes. The WHO's origin investigation remains politically paralyzed.
Meanwhile, the toilet paper industry had a banner year, and survivalist gear companies saw record sales. The "Event 201" simulation participants—Johns Hopkins, the Gates Foundation, the World Economic Forum—faced no accountability for the unsettling coincidence of timing because, of course, a pandemic simulation is not a crime.
For the religious predictions, the pattern is the same as always: the predictors face no legal consequences. Harold Camping's Family Radio spent approximately $100 million on his 2011 campaign, funded largely by followers who sold their homes. But under First Amendment protections, courts cannot declare religious beliefs "false." As one legal scholar noted, the Supreme Court's 1944 United States v. Ballard decision ruled that "to determine that such statements were intentionally false, a civil court would have to go deeply into evaluating religious judgments and religious states of mind".
So the money stays with the prophets. The followers absorb the loss. And October rolls around again next year.
Conclusion: The Eternal October.
Whether it's the Feast of Trumpets or the Military World Games, whether it's a rapture that never comes or a virus that did, October seems to be the month when humanity collectively holds its breath.
The theological framework explains the religious dates. The psychological research explains the toilet paper. And the epidemiological evidence—however contested—places COVID-19's shadowy emergence in the same autumn window as the Wuhan Games and the Italian blood samples.
Maybe it's all coincidence. Maybe it's the natural result of calendars, seasons, and human fear responses converging. Or maybe—as both prophecy believers and conspiracy theorists might suggest—there's something about October that genuinely matters.
Either way, next September, watch the news. Listen for the trumpets. And maybe buy an extra pack of toilet paper. Just in case.
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