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RE: Bounty:Why a strong USD may crash the world economy

in #usd5 years ago

The Strong Dollar Bad Argument is related to

  1. debt is denominated in dollars so it makes it harder for Non-US actors to pay off their debts, making it more difficult for emerging nations to grow
  2. strong dollar siphons away investment from non-US countries because it usually means there is a high interest rate differential in favor of the USD (this is the monetary "cleanest shirt in the dirty laundry argument")
  3. it hurts firms that export from the US (though US as a net importer so not too big a deal, I agree, but politicians may boohoo the strong dollar because it hurts key manufacturing interests in swing states)
  4. Last I saw, S&P500 earnings were about 45% foreign, so a strong dollar not so good for those earnings on a relative basis.
  5. Lastly, maybe you think dollar hegemony is bad? Because a strong dollar will only bolster that.

That's all I got. Interesting thought experiment.

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Ur again looking at this from a us perspective. All i get is the dollar and commodities argument.

Naw man, not looking from just US perspective. Look at #1 and #2.