Ukraine's Potential Defeat in 2024: A Dire Situation

Ukraine, which has been defending itself against Russia's full-scale invasion for two years, faces a serious risk of defeat by Russia in 2024. General Sir Richard Barrons, the former commander of the UK's Joint Forces Command, has issued this warning. The critical factors contributing to this risk include:

1. Resource Depletion: Ukraine's forces are running critically low on ammunition, troops, and air defenses.
2. Failed Counter-Offensive: Last year's much-heralded Ukrainian counter-offensive failed to dislodge Russian forces from the ground they had seized.
3. Russian Offensive: Russia is expected to launch a major offensive this summer, employing a five-to-one advantage in artillery, ammunition, and personnel. Newish weapons, including the FAB glide bomb, are wreaking havoc on Ukrainian defenses.
4. Strategic Uncertainty: Unlike last year, Russia now keeps Kyiv guessing about its next attack direction. The challenge for Ukraine lies in defending its long front line effectively.

The outcome remains uncertain, but the risk of Russia breaking through and exploiting areas where Ukrainian forces cannot stop them looms large.

Note: The above analysis is based on historical trends and military assessments , article published in bbc.com . 🛡️

source : BBC https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-68778338