How were the market conditions during the federal funds rate pause?
1928 | bullish |
1936 | bearish |
1945 | consolidating |
1953 | bullish |
1958 | bearish |
1960 | bullish |
1969 | bearish |
1973 | bearish |
1981 | bullish |
1982 | bearish |
1990 | bearish |
2001 | bullish |
2007 | bearish |
2020 | bullish |
I wondered how the market will behave during the periods of the federal funds rate pauses? There were 14 pauses from 1922 to 2021. 6 over 14 were bullish, and 7 over 14 were bearish. 1 over 14 was consolidating.
I thought it tends to show bullish for the past pauses. The fact is not. There were many factors affecting the market behaviors. So, even though the pause will start next month, no one knows the direction of the markets.
However, if I make a profit in the next period, I'll keep it in cash to prepare the next recession. That's my best strategy for me.
Upvoted! Thank you for supporting witness @jswit.
This hardly makes me optimistic.
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